Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -17.5✓ ISU covered by 12.5
ISU -17.5✓ ISU covered by 12.5Closing total152.5Over by 11.5
 COLO | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 18-2 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 70–86 ISU · ✓ ISU (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| ISU | 52 | 45 | 97 |
1st half: COLO 29, ISU 52 (ISU by 23). The model had ISU by 9.6 and a total of 73.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| COLO | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-54 43% | Field goals | 35-57 61% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 22 5 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson G | 35 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 30 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 21 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bangot Dak F | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Malone C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Sanders G | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalin Holland G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Ian Inman G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Andrew Crawford F | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Leonardo Van Elswyk
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 34 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 32 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 24 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 22 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-6 |
| Killyan Toure G | 18 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 27 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 16 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Rise G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -17.5
no move
CloseISU -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +1200 · ISU -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -17.5 · unchangedmodel ISU -16.5
model ISU -16.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -17.5 | ISU -16.3 | COLO +1.2 | L ISU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 156.3 | Over 3.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | COLO 70 · ISU 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -9.6 | ISU -23.0 |
| 1H total | 73.2 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | COLO 31.8 · ISU 41.4 | COLO 29 · ISU 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COLO 0–3 ISUISU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 3 meetings · COLO 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | COLO 65 @ ISU 79 | ISU -18.5 | COLO W |
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | ISU 79 @ COLO 69 | COLO +9.5 | ISU W |
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | COLO 71 vs ISU 99 | ISU -13.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ CIN | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ WVU | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vs KU | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCF | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−4.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−1.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
−12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
14
@CIN
CINL 68-77
−0.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 61-72
−8.5
20
vsKU
KUL 69-75
−11.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 86-95
+21.5
over 10under 10avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
20 games played
Straight up
18-2
90% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vsWVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs OKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vsUCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
over 9under 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
12-8 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UCF86–95
- Lvs Kansas69–75
- L@ West Virginia61–72
- L@ Cincinnati68–77
- Lvs Texas Tech71–73
5 days since their last game.
Iowa State
18-2 overall · 5-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma St84–71
- Wvs UCF87–57
- L@ Cincinnati70–79
- L@ Kansas63–84
- Wvs Oklahoma St83–71
5 days since their last game.