Marriott Center · at BYU · Conference game
Closing line
BYU -19.5✓ UTAH covered by 6.5
BYU -19.5✓ UTAH covered by 6.5Closing total168.5Over by 0.5
 UTAH | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 16-2 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 14-5 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTAH 73–91 BYU · ✓ BYU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| BYU | 42 | 49 | 91 |
1st half: UTAH 37, BYU 42 (BYU by 5). The model had BYU by 10.3 and a total of 77.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UTAH | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 32-60 53% |
| 13-21 62% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 11-11 100% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 24 6 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keanu Dawes F | 33 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Terrence Brown G | 32 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 7-14 | 4-4 |
| Don McHenry G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| Seydou Traore G | 28 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| James Okonkwo F | 26 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kendyl Sanders F | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Obomate Abbey G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Josh Hayes F | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Huang G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alvin Jackson III, Colin McHaney, Lucas Langarita, Jacob Patrick, Ibrahima Traore, Elijah Moore, Babacar Faye, Jahki Howard
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dybantsa F | 36 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 15-24 | 4-5 |
| Robert Wright III G | 36 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Richie Saunders G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Keba Keita F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 21 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 17 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jared McGregor G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Perry, Brody Kozlowski, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Dawson Baker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -19.5
ModelBYU -17.6
Model edgeUTAH +1.9
W UTAH covered
Total
Market168.5
Model164.5
Model edgeUnder 4.0
L Over
Projected score
UTAH 73.4 · BYU 91
UTAH 78 · BYU 91
Win probability
BYU 94%
1st half
Spread
BYU -10.3
BYU -5.0
Total
77.0
79 points
Projected score
UTAH 33.3 · BYU 43.7
UTAH 37 · BYU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -18.5
1 → BYU
CloseBYU -19.5
1 pt toward BYU
Total
Open165.5
▲ 3
Close168.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UTAH +1300 · BYU -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -18.5 · closed BYU -19.5 · moved 1 toward BYUmodel BYU -17.5
model BYU -17.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 3 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| BYU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UTAH 2–4 BYUBYU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · BYU has won the last 2 meetings · UTAH 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | BYU 89 @ UTAH 84 | UTAH +14.5 | UTAH W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UTAH 74 @ BYU 85 | BYU -11.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | BYU 72 @ UTAH 73 | UTAH +1.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | BYU 69 @ UTAH 73 | UTAH +2.5 | UTAH W |
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | UTAH 66 @ BYU 75 | BYU +2.5 | BYU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-5
74% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SJSU | W 84-75 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | vs WEB | W 92-89 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 10 | vs HC | W 87-69 | -21.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHSU | W 85-79 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 18 | vs PFW | W 85-77 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 20 | vs CP | L 85-92 | -14.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs GCU | L 58-68 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs MISS | W 75-74 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ CAL | L 72-79 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs CBU | W 91-85 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs EWU | W 101-77 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ WASH | L 65-74 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs ARIZ | L 78-97 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLO | L 73-85 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsBYU | L 84-89 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | @ TTU | L 74-88 | +17.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs TCU | W 82-79 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ KSU | L 78-81 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
−2.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
−12.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
−3.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
−6.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
−5.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
−21.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−4.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+11.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
+0.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+0.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
−6.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+13.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
+3.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
−1.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−2.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+9.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+3.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-79
+7.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 78-81
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
+12.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
+32.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
+0.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
+4.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
+0.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
+9.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−27.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+4.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
−1.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+30.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
+2.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+17.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
−18.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
+12.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−4.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+4.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+2.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-79
+6.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 78-81
−9.5
over 14under 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
18 games played
Straight up
16-2
89% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vsHC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vsCBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vsEWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | vsTCU | W 76-70 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @TTU | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−7.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−16.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
over 8under 10avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah
9-10 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas St78–81
- Wvs TCU82–79
- L@ Texas Tech74–88
- Lvs BYU84–89
- L@ Colorado73–85
4 days since their last game.
BYU
16-2 overall · 4-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech71–84
- Wvs TCU76–70
- W@ Utah89–84
- Wvs Arizona St104–76
- W@ Kansas St83–73
A week or more of rest.