Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas · Conference game
Closing line
KU -7.5✓ KU covered by 10.5
KU -7.5✓ KU covered by 10.5Closing total156.5Under by 14.5
 BAY | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 12-5 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 10-5 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 77–82 KU · ✓ KU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 37 | 25 | 62 |
| KU | 43 | 37 | 80 |
1st half: BAY 37, KU 43 (KU by 6). The model had KU by 3.0 and a total of 74.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| BAY | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-61 36% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 37 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 38 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 7-17 | 3-8 |
| Cameron Carr G | 31 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 8-17 | 5-8 |
| Obi Agbim G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Michael Rataj G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Caden Powell C | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Williams IV G | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 18 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| James Nnaji C | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maikcol Perez, Mayo Soyoye, Drew Perry, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, JJ White
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Tre White G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 31 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11-14 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 23 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 11-13 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Samis Calderon F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nginyu Ngala G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -7.5
ModelKU -5.2
Model edgeBAY +2.3
L KU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model158.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
BAY 76.6 · KU 81.8
BAY 62 · KU 80
Win probability
KU 68%
1st half
Spread
KU -3.0
KU -6.0
Total
74.2
80 points
Projected score
BAY 35.6 · KU 38.6
BAY 37 · KU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -6.5
1 → KU
CloseKU -7.5
1 pt toward KU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
BAY +285 · KU -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -6.5 · closed KU -7.5 · moved 1 toward KUmodel KU -5
model KU -5
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| KU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BAY 4–3 KUBAY leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · BAY has won the last 2 meetings · BAY 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | KU 70 @ BAY 81 | BAY -2.5 | BAY W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | KU 74 @ BAY 82 | BAY -4.5 | BAY W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | BAY 61 @ KU 64 | KU -5.5 | BAY W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | BAY 71 @ KU 87 | KU -4.5 | KU W |
| Jan 23, 2022-23 | KU 69 @ BAY 75 | BAY -1.5 | BAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
over 10under 5avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsTCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vsISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
over 6under 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
10-5 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma St94–79
- Lvs Houston55–77
- Lvs Iowa State60–70
- L@ TCU63–69
- Wvs Southern111–67
3 days since their last game.
Kansas
12-5 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa State84–63
- L@ West Virginia75–86
- Wvs TCU104–100
- L@ UCF75–81
- Wvs Davidson90–61
3 days since their last game.