Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St · Conference game
Closing line
ASU -1.5✓ COLO covered by 7.5
ASU -1.5✓ COLO covered by 7.5Closing total156.5Over by 27.5
 COLO | This season | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 9-4 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 79–82 ASU · ✗ ASU (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 48 | 47 | 95 |
| ASU | 38 | 51 | 89 |
1st half: COLO 48, ASU 38 (COLO by 10). The model had ASU by 1.3 and a total of 75.3 (actual 86).
Team stats
| COLO | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 31-68 46% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 6-28 21% |
| 32-38 84% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 42 14 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 10 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 25 | Fouls | 24 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 32 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 28 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 26 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bangot Dak F | 25 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Malone C | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 26 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Jalin Holland G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-4 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tacko Ifaola, Leonardo Van Elswyk, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Ian Inman, Andrew Crawford
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Noah Meeusen G | 32 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Massamba Diop C | 32 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 29 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ford G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Johnson G | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 8-15 | 2-6 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Trevor Best G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Dame Salane, Adante' Holiman, Vijay Wallace, Quentin McCoy, Santiago Trouet, Kash Polk
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketASU -1.5
ModelASU -2.4
Model edgeASU +0.9
L COLO covered
Total
Market156.5
Model160.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
COLO 79.2 · ASU 81.6
COLO 95 · ASU 89
Win probability
ASU 58%
1st half
Spread
ASU -1.3
COLO -10.0
Total
75.3
86 points
Projected score
COLO 37 · ASU 38.3
COLO 48 · ASU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenASU -2.5
1 → COLO
CloseASU -1.5
1 pt toward COLO
Total
Open160.5
▼ 4
Close156.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +110 · ASU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ASU -2.5 · closed ASU -1.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel ASU -2.5
model ASU -2.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| ASU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
COLO 3–5 ASUASU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ASU has won the last 2 meetings · COLO 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | ASU 70 @ COLO 68 | COLO -2.5 | ASU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | COLO 61 @ ASU 81 | ASU -5.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | ASU 70 @ COLO 82 | COLO -15.5 | ASU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | COLO 73 @ ASU 76 | ASU +2.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | COLO 67 @ ASU 59 | ASU -3.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
over 8under 5avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona St
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
over 7under 6avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
10-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Colorado81–86
- Lvs Stanford68–77
- Wvs Portland St84–73
- Wvs UTSA88–64
- L@ Colorado St86–91
6 days since their last game.
Arizona St
9-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oregon St75–78
- L@ UCLA77–90
- Wvs Santa Clara82–79
- Wvs N Arizona73–48
- Wvs Oklahoma86–70
A week or more of rest.