Galen Center · at USC
Closing line
USC -25.5✓ USC covered by 1.5
USC -25.5✓ USC covered by 1.5Closing total157.5Over by 9.5
 UTSA | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 10-1 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 68–90 USC · ✓ USC (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| USC | 40 | 57 | 97 |
1st half: UTSA 31, USC 40 (USC by 9). The model had USC by 13.4 and a total of 73.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UTSA | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-63 35% | Field goals | 33-60 55% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 34 17 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hayes G | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2-11 | 2-8 |
| Brent Moss G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Jamir Simpson G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-5 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 16 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Macaleab Rich G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Mo Njie C | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Pierce Spencer, Jackson Fazande, Austin Nunez, Stanley Borden, Vasean Allette, LJ Brown
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 32 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 29 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonah Goorin, Rodney Rice, Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Gabe Dynes, EJ Neal Jr., Alijah Arenas
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -23.5
2 → USC
CloseUSC -25.5
2 pts toward USC
Total
Open152.5
▲ 5
Close157.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +1800 · USC -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -23.5 · closed USC -25.5 · moved 2 toward USCmodel USC -22.5
model USC -22.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 5 upmodel 157.5 matches the line
model 157.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USC -25.5 | USC -22.5 | UTSA +3.0 | L USC covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 157.7 | Over 0.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTSA 67.6 · USC 90.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USC -13.4 | USC -9.0 |
| 1H total | 73.8 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | UTSA 30.2 · USC 43.6 | UTSA 31 · USC 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSAlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% |
| USC | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −9.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIUE | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXST | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ DEN | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs ACU | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs GASO | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs USA | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ ALA | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ COLO | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−2.5
over 2under 6avg −9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs WASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
over 7under 4avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado64–88
- L@ Alabama55–97
- Lvs South Alabama58–82
- Wvs GA Southern77–64
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn50–61
4 days since their last game.
USC
10-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington St68–61
- W@ San Diego94–81
- Lvs Washington76–84
- W@ Oregon82–77
- Wvs Arizona St88–75
3 days since their last game.