Mitchell Center · Neutral site · Conference game
Closing line
ALST -1.5✓ AAMU covered by 5.5
ALST -1.5✓ AAMU covered by 5.5Closing total146.5Under by 4.5
 AAMU | This season | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 4-12 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AAMU 73–74 ALST · ✗ ALST (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMU | 33 | 40 | 73 |
| ALST | 32 | 37 | 69 |
1st half: AAMU 33, ALST 32 (AAMU by 1). The model had ALST by 0.2 and a total of 69.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| AAMU | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 24-29 83% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 15 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| AAMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kintavious Dozier G | 36 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 8-16 | 2-7 |
| Sami Pissis G | 35 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 5-14 | 2-7 |
| PJ Eason F | 30 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Koron Davis G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| James Graham III G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lou Hutchinson III G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Gabe Kincy G | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bilal Abdur-Rahman G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| James Flippin F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Onu F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Angok Anyang, Jalen Carruth, Jayden Jackson, Tajden Davis, Isaiah Ramey, Peyton Daniels Sr.
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 36 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 32 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 8-9 | 1-1 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 21 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| JaSteven Walker F | 17 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Damarien Yates F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Mack G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| R'Chaun King F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordon Marshall, Kevin Alabi, Damarion Bonds, Trey Miller, Damion Cox Jr., Tyler Mason
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALST -1.5
ModelALST -0.6
Model edgeAAMU +0.9
W AAMU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
L Under
Projected score
AAMU 73.4 · ALST 74
AAMU 73 · ALST 69
Win probability
ALST 52%
1st half
Spread
ALST -0.2
AAMU -1.0
Total
69.0
65 points
Projected score
AAMU 34.4 · ALST 34.6
AAMU 33 · ALST 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALST -1.5
no move
CloseALST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
AAMU +114 · ALST -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALST -1.5 · unchangedmodel ALST -0.5
model ALST -0.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ALST | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
AAMU 3–5 ALSTALST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ALST has won the last 2 meetings · AAMU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | AAMU 52 @ ALST 94 | ALST -7.5 | ALST W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ALST 69 @ AAMU 65 | AAMU +3.5 | ALST W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | ALST 53 @ AAMU 58 | AAMU +2.5 | AAMU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | AAMU 55 vs ALST 72 | ALST -5.5 | ALST W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | AAMU 55 @ ALST 50 | ALST +1.5 | AAMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama A&M
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ IU | L 51-98 | +30.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 13 | vs CHSO | W 68-64 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs LIN | W 74-65 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 28 | @ CLEM | L 56-92 | +27.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ CCU | L 60-67 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNST | W 80-53 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | @ LIP | L 58-92 | +11.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 15 | vs UNA | W 68-60 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 17 | vs MISS | L 66-80 | +20.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs UTC | L 66-73 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ UAPB | L 83-95 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 5 | @ MVSU | W 71-51 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | vs ALCN | L 62-64 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vs JKST | W 100-91 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@IU
IUL 51-98
−16.5
13
vsCHSO
CHSOW 68-64
+2.5
16
vsLIN
LINW 74-65
+5.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 56-92
−8.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 60-67
+0.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTW 80-53
+31.5
7
@LIP
LIPL 58-92
−22.5
15
vsUNA
UNAW 68-60
+12.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 66-80
+6.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 66-73
−4.5
3
@UAPB
UAPBL 83-95
−13.5
5
@MVSU
MVSUW 71-51
+9.5
10
vsALCN
ALCNL 62-64
−11.5
12
vsJKST
JKSTW 100-91
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@IU
IUL 51-98
+1.5
13
vsCHSO
CHSOW 68-64
−20.5
16
vsLIN
LINW 74-65
−10.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 56-92
+6.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 60-67
−13.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTW 80-53
−14.5
7
@LIP
LIPL 58-92
+3.5
15
vsUNA
UNAW 68-60
−12.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 66-80
+10.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 66-73
+0.5
3
@UAPB
UAPBL 83-95
+28.5
5
@MVSU
MVSUW 71-51
−13.5
10
vsALCN
ALCNL 62-64
−14.5
12
vsJKST
JKSTW 100-91
+50.5
over 7under 7avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama St
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ CIN | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ MEM | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSST | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @MVSU | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @UAPB | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsJKST | L 64-75 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vsALCN | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−15.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
−0.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−20.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+6.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
−12.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−18.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
+5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−6.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
+3.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−4.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+13.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
+9.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−14.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
−4.5
over 7under 9avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama A&M
6-8 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jackson St100–91
- Lvs Alcorn St62–64
- W@ Miss Valley St71–51
- L@ AR-Pine Bluff83–95
- Lvs Chattanooga66–73
A week or more of rest.
Alabama St
4-12 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St81–66
- Lvs Jackson St64–75
- L@ AR-Pine Bluff79–90
- W@ Miss Valley St89–69
- L@ Mississippi St56–94
A week or more of rest.