Delta Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UVU -5.5✓ UVU covered by 9.5
UVU -5.5✓ UVU covered by 9.5Closing total146.5Under by 25.5
 UCSB | This season | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 5-3 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 74–80 UVU · ✓ UVU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 15 | 38 | 53 |
| UVU | 37 | 31 | 68 |
1st half: UCSB 15, UVU 37 (UVU by 22). The model had UVU by 3.0 and a total of 72.1 (actual 52).
Team stats
| UCSB | UVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 11 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Shaw G | 35 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Mahaney G | 34 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-12 | 0-2 |
| Colin Smith F | 31 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Zion Sensley G | 27 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| ZZ Clark G | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange, Jason Fontenet II, Miro Little
| UVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hendricks G | 36 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Trevan Leonhardt G | 36 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Noah Taitz G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Isaac Davis F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Holcombe G | 25 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hayden Welling F | 21 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Hawkins F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Medaris F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Housley, AJ Riggs, Jaxson Roberts, AJ Dixon, Tyler Weaver, Joul Karram
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVU -5.5
ModelUVU -5.3
Model edgeUCSB +0.2
L UVU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model154.0
Model edgeOver 7.5
L Under
Projected score
UCSB 74.3 · UVU 79.6
UCSB 53 · UVU 68
Win probability
UVU 68%
1st half
Spread
UVU -3.0
UVU -22.0
Total
72.1
52 points
Projected score
UCSB 34.5 · UVU 37.6
UCSB 15 · UVU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -5.5
11 → UVU
CloseUVU -5.5
11 pts toward UVU
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB +200 · UVU -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -5.5 · closed UVU -5.5 · moved 11 toward UVUmodel UVU -5.5 matches the line
model UVU -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSBlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
| UVUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +11.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
over 6under 2avg +11.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah Valley
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BOIS | L 77-101 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @ FRES | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UCI | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDST | W 75-52 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs SAM | W 89-45 | -7.5 | W +36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ SDSU | L 66-77 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ BGSU | W 82-71 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDST | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
−11.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−5.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+4.5
25
vsSDST
SDSTW 75-52
+21.5
26
vsSAM
SAMW 89-45
+36.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−2.5
6
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-71
+9.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-69
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
+26.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−7.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+1.5
25
vsSDST
SDSTW 75-52
−24.5
26
vsSAM
SAMW 89-45
−14.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−1.5
6
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-71
+8.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-69
+0.5
over 4under 4avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
6-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield109–84
- Wvs Long Beach St84–77
- Wvs Seattle U74–71
- Wvs Lehigh72–70
- L@ Nevada64–77
A week or more of rest.
Utah Valley
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho St73–69
- W@ Bowling Green82–71
- L@ San Diego St66–77
- Wvs Samford89–45
- Wvs S Dakota St75–52
3 days since their last game.