Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern
Closing line
NU -19.5✓ NU covered by 0.5
NU -19.5✓ NU covered by 0.5Closing total148.5Under by 8.5
 HOW | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 7-5 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 8-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOW 62–85 NU · ✓ NU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 28 | 32 | 60 |
| NU | 31 | 49 | 80 |
1st half: HOW 28, NU 31 (NU by 3). The model had NU by 13.2 and a total of 68.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| HOW | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-55 40% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 22-34 65% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 21 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Ose Okojie G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Harris G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 24 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Alex Cotton G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ed Holland III G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| BJ Powell G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Johnson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stefan Isailovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Julian Johnson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| River Smith G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shane Frazier
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 36 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 10-20 | 1-4 |
| Tre Singleton F | 36 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 25 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Reid G | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake West G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Justin Mullins G | 18 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Max Green G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Smith, K.J. Windham, Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Phoenix Gill, Arrinten Page
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNU -19.5
ModelNU -22.3
Model edgeNU +2.8
W NU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model146.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
W Under
Projected score
HOW 62.2 · NU 84.5
HOW 60 · NU 80
Win probability
NU 97%
1st half
Spread
NU -13.2
NU -3.0
Total
68.8
59 points
Projected score
HOW 27.8 · NU 41
HOW 28 · NU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -19.5
no move
CloseNU -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 3
Close148.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
HOW +1400 · NU -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -19.5 · unchangedmodel NU -22.5
model NU -22.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOW | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| NU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Howard
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs NIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @ DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
over 3under 8avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs OSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
over 8under 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Howard
6-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNC Wilmington67–66
- W@ Drexel74–66
- Wvs Hampton61–57
- Wvs NC A&T73–69
- L@ Mount St Marys75–79
A week or more of rest.
Northwestern
7-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Butler58–61
- Wvs Valparaiso86–70
- Wvs Jackson St93–53
- Lvs Ohio State82–86
- L@ Wisconsin73–85
A week or more of rest.