FedExForum · at Memphis
Closing line
VAN -9.5✓ MEM covered by 2.5
VAN -9.5✓ MEM covered by 2.5Closing total159.5Under by 12.5
| VAN | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 10-0 | Record | 4-5 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 7-2 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 85–77 MEM · ✓ VAN (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 28 | 34 | 15 | 77 |
| MEM | 22 | 40 | 8 | 70 |
1st half: VAN 28, MEM 22 (VAN by 6). The model had VAN by 4.9 and a total of 75.5 (actual 50).
Team stats
| VAN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-62 32% | Field goals | 23-64 36% |
| 6-31 19% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 31-40 78% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 45 15 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 16 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 19 | Fouls | 28 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 41 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Duke Miles G | 40 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 5-16 | 0-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 37 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-10 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 26 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| AK Okereke F | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 26 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Collins G | 21 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Chandler Bing F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson, Miles Keeffe, Jaylon Dean-Vines, George Kimble III, Jayden Leverett, Mike James
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 42 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 6-18 | 2-9 |
| Hasan Abdul Hakim G | 35 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Sincere Parker G | 35 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-4 |
| Zach Davis G | 24 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 23 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Ingraham F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Quante Berry G | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simon Majok C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arop Arop, Thierno Sylla, William Whorton, Mason Matthews, Julius Thedford, Curtis Givens III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -9.5
ModelVAN -7.9
Model edgeMEM +1.6
W MEM covered
Total
Market159.5
Model161.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
VAN 84.7 · MEM 76.8
VAN 77 · MEM 70
Win probability
VAN 75%
1st half
Spread
VAN -4.9
VAN -6.0
Total
75.5
50 points
Projected score
VAN 40.2 · MEM 35.3
VAN 28 · MEM 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -7.5
2 → VAN
CloseVAN -9.5
2 pts toward VAN
Total
Open160.5
▼ 1
Close159.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -500 · MEM +380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -7.5 · closed VAN -9.5 · moved 2 toward VANmodel VAN -8
model VAN -8
Opened 160.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| MEMlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 7-2 78% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 0–2 MEMMEM leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MEM has won the last 2 meetings · VAN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023-24 | VAN 75 @ MEM 77 | MEM -16.5 | VAN W |
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | MEM 76 @ VAN 67 | VAN +2.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
10 games played
Straight up
10-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
over 6under 4avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ MISS | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs UNLV | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PUR | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIU | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs BAY | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ LOU | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+1.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
+10.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+6.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
−9.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
+9.5
over 4under 5avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
10-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Arkansas83–72
- Wvs SMU88–69
- Wvs Saint Mary's96–71
- Wvs VCU89–74
- Wvs Western KY83–78
4 days since their last game.
Memphis
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisville73–99
- Wvs Baylor78–71
- Wvs LSU N Orleans86–70
- Wvs S Illinois74–58
- Lvs Wake Forest68–69
4 days since their last game.