The Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota · at Minnesota · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -1.5✓ WIS covered by 1.5
Closing total146.5Over by 6.5
| This season | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 10-6 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 4-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 75–72 MINN · ✓ WIS (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 28 | 50 | 78 |
| MINN | 35 | 40 | 75 |
1st half: WIS 28, MINN 35 (MINN by 7). The model had WIS by 2.3 and a total of 68.8 (actual 63).
Team stats
| WIS | MINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 14-33 42% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 27 4 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 1 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter F | 39 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| John Blackwell G | 34 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 8-14 | 5-7 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 31 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Nick Boyd G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 7-13 | 7-12 |
| Jack Janicki G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Will Garlock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Kinziger, Jack Robison, Riccardo Greppi, Austin Rapp, Hayden Jones, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 39 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 38 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 38 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 33 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grayson Grove F | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kai Shinholster G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Robert Vaihola, Chance Stephens, BJ Omot, Nehemiah Turner, Chansey Willis Jr., Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -1.5
no move
CloseWIS -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
WIS -125 · MINN +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -1.5 · unchangedmodel WIS -3.5
model WIS -3.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -1.5 | WIS -3.6 | WIS +2.1 | W WIS covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 146.9 | Over 0.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WIS 75.2 · MINN 71.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -2.3 | MINN -7.0 |
| 1H total | 68.8 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 35.5 · MINN 33.3 | WIS 28 · MINN 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
WIS 7–0 MINNWIS leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 7 meetings · WIS 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WIS 74 @ MINN 67 | MINN +6.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | MINN 59 @ WIS 80 | WIS -13.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | WIS 61 @ MINN 59 | MINN +2.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | WIS 71 @ MINN 67 | MINN +5.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 3, 2022-23 | MINN 60 @ WIS 63 | WIS -12.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+11.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
−3.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
+4.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
−0.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
−23.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+14.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−16.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+1.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+8.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−28.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−13.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
+0.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
+0.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
−10.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
+4.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+22.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+8.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
+11.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
−15.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
+16.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
+2.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+20.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−20.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+2.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+11.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−8.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−10.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
−3.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
−17.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
+8.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
−0.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+9.5
over 9under 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Minnesota
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-12
25% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
+13.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−18.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−15.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
−13.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−1.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
−5.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
+16.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−8.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
+14.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
+14.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−8.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+10.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+7.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
−7.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−9.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−24.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
+1.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−2.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
+22.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
−7.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−1.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
−2.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
−17.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−36.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+23.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+6.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−8.5
over 4under 12avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
11-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Michigan91–88
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Lvs Purdue73–89
- Wvs Milwaukee80–60
- Wvs C Michigan88–61
3 days since their last game.
Minnesota
10-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs USC69–70
- Wvs Iowa70–67
- W@ Northwestern84–78
- Wvs FDU60–43
- Wvs Campbell78–50
4 days since their last game.