Addition Financial Arena · at UCF
Closing line
UCF -17.5✓ UCF covered by 4.5
UCF -17.5✓ UCF covered by 4.5Closing total161.5Over by 20.5
 FGCU | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 9-1 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FGCU 74–91 UCF · ✓ UCF (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 49 | 31 | 80 |
| UCF | 49 | 53 | 102 |
1st half: FGCU 49, UCF 49 (tied). The model had UCF by 10.1 and a total of 77.3 (actual 98).
Team stats
| FGCU | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-61 51% | Field goals | 38-73 52% |
| 15-27 56% | 3-pointers | 19-35 54% |
| 3-5 60% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 42 17 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny F | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 30 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 9-15 | 2-5 |
| Rahmir Barno G | 29 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Michael Duax F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Tristen Guillouette C | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rory Stewart F | 25 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| Gabe Tanner F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Darren Williams G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Isaiah Malone F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jack Reddick G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt McCarthy G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BB Washington, Brandon Dwyer, Evan Barlow, Chase Konieczny, George Washington III
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 30 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 9-15 | 3-3 |
| Jordan Burks F | 29 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 7-14 | 6-11 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 27 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Riley Kugel G | 22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| John Bol C | 19 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devan Cambridge F | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Chris Johnson G | 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kris Parker G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zachary Johnson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCF -17.5
ModelUCF -17.0
Model edgeFGCU +0.5
L UCF covered
Total
Market161.5
Model165.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
FGCU 74.1 · UCF 91.1
FGCU 80 · UCF 102
Win probability
UCF 93%
1st half
Spread
UCF -10.1
tied
Total
77.3
98 points
Projected score
FGCU 33.6 · UCF 43.7
FGCU 49 · UCF 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -16.5
1 → UCF
CloseUCF -17.5
1 pt toward UCF
Total
Open157.5
▲ 4
Close161.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
FGCU +1100 · UCF -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -16.5 · closed UCF -17.5 · moved 1 toward UCFmodel UCF -17
model UCF -17
Opened 157.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 4 upmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| UCF | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FGCU
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ ILL | L 70-113 | +29.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs GASO | L 94-95 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTC | W 91-73 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SAM | W 77-62 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORU | W 93-88 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs RICE | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs KENN | L 100-102 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 3 | @ FIU | L 83-89 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAU | L 76-81 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ UNM | L 59-75 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
−13.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
−4.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+19.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
+20.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
−6.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
−3.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
−7.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
−2.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
+22.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
+25.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+11.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
−15.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
+27.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
−8.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
+41.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
+17.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
+6.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−25.5
over 7under 3avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
over 4under 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FGCU
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico59–75
- Lvs FAU76–81
- L@ FIU83–89
- Lvs Kennesaw St100–102
- Wvs Rice78–63
6 days since their last game.
UCF
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercer81–63
- Wvs Towson86–61
- Wvs VMI82–57
- Wvs Quinnipiac102–91
- Wvs Pitt77–67
3 days since their last game.