The Dedmon Center · at Radford · Conference game
Closing line
RAD -7.5✓ RAD covered by 4.5
RAD -7.5✓ RAD covered by 4.5Closing total152.5Under by 22.5
 UPST | This season | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| 9-17 | Record | 12-14 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 75–81 RAD · ✓ RAD (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 30 | 29 | 59 |
| RAD | 29 | 42 | 71 |
1st half: UPST 30, RAD 29 (UPST by 1). The model had RAD by 3.5 and a total of 73.1 (actual 59).
Team stats
| UPST | RAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-67 37% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 42 17 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 9 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 8 | Blocks | 9 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins G | 40 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 5-20 | 1-9 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 37 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 33 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 24 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Learic Davis F | 24 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Kanye Jones G | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Coen Collier C | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chico Johnson, TJ Lewis, Tyler Smith, Karmani Gregory, Nic Book, CJ Rich
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Jones G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Lukas Walls G | 29 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-3 |
| Tyson Brown F | 26 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 23 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Mari Jordan G | 21 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Louie Jordan F | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Warren Keel Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Diogo Alves, Gabriel Ferreira, Bradley Land, Zion Walker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRAD -7.5
ModelRAD -6.1
Model edgeUPST +1.4
L RAD covered
Total
Market152.5
Model156.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
UPST 75.1 · RAD 81.2
UPST 59 · RAD 71
Win probability
RAD 70%
1st half
Spread
RAD -3.5
UPST -1.0
Total
73.1
59 points
Projected score
UPST 34.8 · RAD 38.3
UPST 30 · RAD 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -6.5
1 → RAD
CloseRAD -7.5
1 pt toward RAD
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +280 · RAD -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -6.5 · closed RAD -7.5 · moved 1 toward RADmodel RAD -6
model RAD -6
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| RAD | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UPST 2–7 RADRAD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · RAD has won the last 4 meetings · UPST 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | RAD 76 @ UPST 69 | UPST -1.5 | RAD W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UPST 69 @ RAD 79 | RAD -12.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | RAD 80 @ UPST 67 | UPST +5.5 | RAD W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | RAD 67 vs UPST 60 | UPST +5.5 | RAD W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | RAD 69 @ UPST 78 | UPST +2.5 | UPST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | vsRAD | L 69-76 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PRES | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIN | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | @ CHSO | W 86-81 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ HPU | L 69-89 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNCA | L 69-83 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ GWEB | L 65-67 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | vs LONG | W 65-60 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @UNCA | L 67-76 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 7 | vsCHSO | W 100-94 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 12 | vsHPU | L 70-95 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @LONG | L 75-82 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | @WIN | L 64-68 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 21 | vsPRES | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−8.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
−7.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−15.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
−3.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
−15.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−11.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
+6.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
−2.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+7.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
−10.5
14
@LONG
LONGL 75-82
−0.5
19
@WIN
WINL 64-68
+9.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 76-74
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−13.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
+25.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−36.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
+5.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
+6.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−21.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
−22.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
+3.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+43.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
+10.5
14
@LONG
LONGL 75-82
+9.5
19
@WIN
WINL 64-68
−26.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 76-74
+8.5
over 14under 12avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Radford
26 games played
Straight up
12-14
46% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vsUNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs VMI | W 97-90 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 31 | @UPST | W 76-69 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vsPRES | W 80-61 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCA | L 72-91 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @GWEB | W 89-80 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsLONG | W 85-83 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | @WIN | L 75-76 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 23 | vsHPU | L 83-93 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | @CHSO | W 84-75 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 31 | @PRES | W 93-84 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vsWIN | L 78-80 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 7 | @HPU | L 77-86 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | vsCHSO | W 90-80 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 19 | vsGWEB | W 82-70 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 21 | @UNCA | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
−4.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
+8.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
+12.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
−23.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
−4.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 85-83
−2.5
21
@WIN
WINL 75-76
+8.5
23
vsHPU
HPUL 83-93
−2.5
29
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-75
+7.5
31
@PRES
PRESW 93-84
+10.5
4
vsWIN
WINL 78-80
+2.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 77-86
+5.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 90-80
+5.5
19
vsGWEB
GWEBW 82-70
−6.5
21
@UNCA
UNCAL 73-74
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
+28.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
−13.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
−6.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
+11.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
+3.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 85-83
+10.5
21
@WIN
WINL 75-76
−14.5
23
vsHPU
HPUL 83-93
+10.5
29
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-75
−3.5
31
@PRES
PRESW 93-84
+25.5
4
vsWIN
WINL 78-80
−3.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 77-86
+0.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 90-80
+8.5
19
vsGWEB
GWEBW 82-70
−10.5
21
@UNCA
UNCAL 73-74
−2.5
over 15under 11avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
9-17 overall · 4-10 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian76–74
- L@ Winthrop64–68
- L@ Longwood75–82
- Lvs High Point70–95
- Wvs Charleston So100–94
5 days since their last game.
Radford
12-14 overall · 8-6 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Asheville73–74
- Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70
- Wvs Charleston So90–80
- L@ High Point77–86
- Lvs Winthrop78–80
5 days since their last game.