The Dedmon Center · at Radford · Conference game
Closing line
RAD -4.5✓ UNCA covered by 23.5
RAD -4.5✓ UNCA covered by 23.5Closing total151.5Over by 11.5
 UNCA | This season | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | Record | 6-8 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCA 74–79 RAD · ✗ RAD (64%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCA | 45 | 46 | 91 |
| RAD | 36 | 36 | 72 |
1st half: UNCA 45, RAD 36 (UNCA by 9). The model had RAD by 2.4 and a total of 71.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UNCA | RAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-58 53% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 3-26 12% |
| 18-29 62% | Free throws | 23-32 72% |
| 43 10 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 25 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright G | 38 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Kam Taylor G | 38 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| DJ Patrick G | 35 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 8-16 | 7-14 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 32 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 30 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Mayfield F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mitchell Taylor, David Hermes, Rasheed Baldwin, Jakel Powell, Julian Clarke, Connor Dubsky, Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Jones G | 37 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 33 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 8-15 | 0-5 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-8 |
| Lukas Walls G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Tyson Brown F | 24 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frederik Erichsen F | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mari Jordan G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Louie Jordan F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bradley Land, Gabriel Ferreira, Warren Keel Jr., Diogo Alves, Zion Walker
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRAD -4.5
ModelRAD -4.2
Model edgeUNCA +0.3
W UNCA covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
UNCA 74.3 · RAD 78.5
UNCA 91 · RAD 72
Win probability
RAD 64%
1st half
Spread
RAD -2.4
UNCA -9.0
Total
71.6
81 points
Projected score
UNCA 34.6 · RAD 37
UNCA 45 · RAD 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -4.5
no move
CloseRAD -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNCA +180 · RAD -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -4.5 · unchangedmodel RAD -4
model RAD -4
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCA | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| RAD | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UNCA 6–1 RADUNCA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UNCA 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UNCA 53 @ RAD 77 | RAD -3.5 | RAD W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | RAD 65 @ UNCA 72 | UNCA -2.5 | UNCA W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UNCA 71 @ RAD 62 | RAD +1.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | RAD 69 @ UNCA 81 | UNCA -5.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | UNCA 63 @ RAD 54 | RAD -4.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Asheville
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vs HPU | L 69-87 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | @ CHSO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | vs LONG | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
−7.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+1.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
+4.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+17.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
−15.5
over 6under 8avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Radford
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs VMI | W 97-90 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 31 | @ UPST | W 76-69 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs PRES | W 80-61 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
−4.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
+8.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
+28.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
−13.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
−6.5
over 8under 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Asheville
4-10 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Longwood72–61
- L@ Charleston So83–86
- Lvs High Point69–87
- L@ UAB47–72
- Lvs St Thomas59–80
3 days since their last game.
Radford
6-8 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian80–61
- W@ SC Upstate76–69
- Wvs VMI97–90
- L@ William & Mary83–96
- Wvs Coppin St107–77
3 days since their last game.