Lawlor Events Center · at Nevada · Conference game
Closing line
NEV -1.5✓ SDSU covered by 6.5
NEV -1.5✓ SDSU covered by 6.5Closing total141.5Under by 0.5
 SDSU | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 11-3 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 74–75 NEV · ✗ NEV (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| NEV | 36 | 32 | 68 |
1st half: SDSU 34, NEV 36 (NEV by 2). The model had NEV by 0.6 and a total of 70.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| SDSU | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 21-59 36% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 31 13 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd G | 32 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Miles Heide F | 23 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| BJ Davis G | 27 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Latrell Davis, Cam Lawin, Thokbor Majak, Raymar Gonzales
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Bailey III G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-6 |
| Elijah Price F | 31 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-9 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 24 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Rolison G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Peyton White G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Myles Walker G | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ethan Croley F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vaughn Weems, Christopher Baudreau, Joel Armotrading
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEV -1.5
ModelNEV -1.2
Model edgeSDSU +0.3
W SDSU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model149.5
Model edgeOver 8.0
L Under
Projected score
SDSU 74.2 · NEV 75.4
SDSU 73 · NEV 68
Win probability
NEV 54%
1st half
Spread
NEV -0.6
NEV -2.0
Total
70.0
70 points
Projected score
SDSU 34.7 · NEV 35.3
SDSU 34 · NEV 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -1.5
no move
CloseNEV -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 5
Close141.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
SDSU -112 · NEV -108
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -1.5 · unchangedmodel NEV -1
model NEV -1
Opened 146.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NEV | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SDSU 6–2 NEVSDSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SDSU has won the last 2 meetings · SDSU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | NEV 61 @ SDSU 80 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SDSU 69 @ NEV 50 | NEV -2.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 9, 2023-24 | SDSU 66 @ NEV 70 | NEV -3.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | NEV 59 @ SDSU 71 | SDSU -5.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | SDSU 66 @ NEV 75 | NEV +2.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs BOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
over 7under 5avg +15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vsBOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
over 8under 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
8-4 overall · 3-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boise St110–107
- W@ San José St81–68
- Lvs Arizona45–68
- Wvs Air Force81–58
- Wvs Lamar89–71
3 days since their last game.
Nevada
11-3 overall · 3-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fresno St66–65
- W@ Colorado St75–62
- Wvs Boise St81–66
- Wvs Duquesne78–75
- W@ Washington St78–64
3 days since their last game.