LBS Financial Credit Union Pyramid · at Long Beach St · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -4.5✓ LBSU covered by 1.5
UCSB -4.5✓ LBSU covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Over by 0.5
| UCSB | This season | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 6-12 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 13-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 77–73 LBSU · ✓ UCSB (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 44 | 30 | 74 |
| LBSU | 29 | 42 | 71 |
1st half: UCSB 44, LBSU 29 (UCSB by 15). The model had UCSB by 1.9 and a total of 70.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| UCSB | LBSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 25-51 49% |
| 9-19 47% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 35 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-5 |
| Miro Little G | 35 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Colin Smith F | 28 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Zion Sensley G | 24 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, ZZ Clark, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange, Jason Fontenet II
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes G | 39 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Petar Majstorovic F | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Leopold Levillain F | 26 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Rob Diaz III G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cole Farrell G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Lewis G | 29 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| Shaquil Bender G | 21 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas Washington F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Derrick Michael Xzavierro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Chaikovsky, Christian Jones, Jayden Alexander, Immanuel Lewis, Grant Gondrezick II
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -4.5
ModelUCSB -3.0
Model edgeLBSU +1.5
W LBSU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model149.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
UCSB 76.5 · LBSU 73.4
UCSB 74 · LBSU 71
Win probability
UCSB 60%
1st half
Spread
UCSB -1.9
UCSB -15.0
Total
70.2
73 points
Projected score
UCSB 36.1 · LBSU 34.1
UCSB 44 · LBSU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -4.5
no move
CloseUCSB -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 5
Close144.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB -198 · LBSU +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -4.5 · unchangedmodel UCSB -3
model UCSB -3
Opened 149.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 5 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| LBSU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCSB 8–2 LBSUUCSB leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCSB has won the last 7 meetings · UCSB 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | LBSU 77 @ UCSB 84 | UCSB -13.5 | LBSU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | UCSB 58 @ LBSU 56 | LBSU +7.5 | LBSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LBSU 54 @ UCSB 85 | UCSB -7.5 | UCSB W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | UCSB 76 @ LBSU 74 | LBSU -4.5 | UCSB W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LBSU 76 @ UCSB 85 | UCSB -1.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vsLBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs UCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs HAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs CP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
over 9under 8avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Long Beach St
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-5
72% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | @SJSU | L 83-89 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs PEPP | W 81-78 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 21 | @ ISU | L 60-91 | +37.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vsCP | W 74-66 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCI | L 64-74 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | vsCSUB | W 81-75 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs UCR | W 88-73 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUN | W 87-80 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | @CSUF | L 61-71 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+1.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
−1.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+6.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
+5.5
8
@UCI
UCIL 64-74
+0.5
10
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-75
−0.5
15
vsUCR
UCRW 88-73
+9.5
17
@CSUN
CSUNW 87-80
+14.5
22
@CSUF
CSUFL 61-71
−6.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+30.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
+17.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+1.5
3
vsCP
CPW 74-66
−22.5
8
@UCI
UCIL 64-74
−4.5
10
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-75
+13.5
15
vsUCR
UCRW 88-73
+19.5
17
@CSUN
CSUNW 87-80
+8.5
22
@CSUF
CSUFL 61-71
−28.5
over 13under 5avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
10-7 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly107–67
- Wvs Hawai'i77–62
- W@ Bakersfield75–69
- Lvs UC Davis86–93
- L@ CSU Northridge65–74
2 days since their last game.
Long Beach St
6-12 overall · 4-4 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fullerton61–71
- W@ CSU Northridge87–80
- Wvs UC Riverside88–73
- Wvs Bakersfield81–75
- L@ UC Irvine64–74
2 days since their last game.