Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield
Closing line
MONM -2.5✓ FAIR covered by 10.5
MONM -2.5✓ FAIR covered by 10.5Closing total143.5Under by 5.5
| MONM | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONM 76–73 FAIR · ✗ MONM (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONM | 35 | 30 | 65 |
| FAIR | 32 | 41 | 73 |
1st half: MONM 35, FAIR 32 (MONM by 3). The model had MONM by 1.9 and a total of 69.8 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MONM | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 32-67 48% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 1-5 20% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 40 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 37 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Justin Ray G | 36 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Jack Collins G | 36 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 27 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Ball F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 29 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Dok Muordar C | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jinup Dobuol G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| O'Marion Harvey F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kavion McClain, Lucas Orchard, Quinn Peters, Jack Leahy, Corey Miller, Zubayr Griffin
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 40 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-19 | 4-9 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 7-11 | 1-1 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 31 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Deuce Turner G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton Smith, Aidan May, Joe Ganton, Tanner Ostop, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Nasir Rodriguez, Cam Estevez, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONM -2.5
ModelMONM -2.9
Model edgeMONM +0.4
L FAIR covered
Total
Market143.5
Model149.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
L Under
Projected score
MONM 76 · FAIR 73.1
MONM 65 · FAIR 73
Win probability
MONM 60%
1st half
Spread
MONM -1.9
MONM -3.0
Total
69.8
67 points
Projected score
MONM 35.8 · FAIR 34
MONM 35 · FAIR 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONM -2.5
no move
CloseMONM -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 4
Close143.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MONM -142 · FAIR +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONM -2.5 · unchangedmodel MONM -3
model MONM -3
Opened 147.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONMlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| FAIR | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MONM 3–0 FAIRMONM leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MONM has won the last 3 meetings · MONM 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | FAIR 74 @ MONM 88 | MONM -4.5 | MONM W |
| Feb 4, 2021-22 | FAIR 56 @ MONM 59 | MONM -7 | FAIR W |
| Jan 20, 2021-22 | MONM 61 @ FAIR 58 | FAIR +1 | MONM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Monmouth
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ LAS | L 60-73 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 13 | @ HALL | L 58-70 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ SYR | L 73-78 | +21.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs RMU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs BALL | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEM | L 79-83 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | @ LAF | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRIN | W 63-58 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ GT | L 67-79 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−8.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
+3.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+16.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−1.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+4.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
−10.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+12.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−0.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−10.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
−7.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+5.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−7.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+16.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
+16.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+20.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−18.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
+1.5
over 5under 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
over 5under 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Monmouth
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia Tech67–79
- Wvs Princeton63–58
- W@ Lafayette88–74
- Lvs Le Moyne79–83
- Wvs Ball State80–73
A week or more of rest.
Fairfield
5-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Merrimack63–74
- L@ Manhattan66–70
- Wvs New Hampshire72–68
- Lvs Columbia77–106
- W@ Le Moyne97–83
A week or more of rest.