Fiserv Forum · at Marquette · Conference game
Closing line
MARQ -5.5✓ XAV covered by 4.5
MARQ -5.5✓ XAV covered by 4.5Closing total157.5Under by 26.5
 XAV | This season | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| 9-6 | Record | 5-10 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 4-11 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 77–81 MARQ · ✓ MARQ (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| MARQ | 37 | 29 | 66 |
1st half: XAV 27, MARQ 37 (MARQ by 10). The model had MARQ by 2.0 and a total of 73.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| XAV | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 9-18 50% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 47 19 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 12 | Steals | 13 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 37 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 4-6 |
| Tre Carroll F | 34 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 29 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-3 |
| Roddie Anderson G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| All Wright G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Henry Thole, Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Ian Sabourin, Mier Panoam, Michael Wolf
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross G | 38 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-3 |
| Royce Parham F | 36 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 32 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Ben Gold F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Norman G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Damarius Owens SF | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Clark F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nash Walker, Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Casey O'Malley, Sean Jones, Jonah Lucas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMARQ -4.5
1 → MARQ
CloseMARQ -5.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
XAV +195 · MARQ -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MARQ -4.5 · closed MARQ -5.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel MARQ -3.5
model MARQ -3.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5 matches the line
model 157.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MARQ -5.5 | MARQ -3.5 | XAV +2.0 | W XAV covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 157.4 | Under 0.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | XAV 77 · MARQ 80.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MARQ -2.0 | MARQ -10.0 |
| 1H total | 73.7 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | XAV 35.9 · MARQ 37.8 | XAV 27 · MARQ 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| MARQ | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
XAV 3–7 MARQMARQ leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · XAV 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | MARQ 89 vs XAV 87 | XAV +2.5 | XAV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | XAV 59 @ MARQ 57 | MARQ -9.5 | XAV W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | MARQ 72 @ XAV 70 | XAV +4.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | MARQ 86 @ XAV 80 | XAV +3.5 | MARQ W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | XAV 64 @ MARQ 88 | MARQ -11.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vs CONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
over 9under 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marquette
15 games played
Straight up
5-10
33% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vsGTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs HALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
over 7under 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
9-6 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ DePaul77–86
- Lvs UConn67–90
- W@ Georgetown80–77
- Lvs Creighton57–98
- Wvs Missouri St75–57
4 days since their last game.
Marquette
5-10 overall · 0-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UConn57–73
- Lvs Seton Hall73–79
- L@ Creighton63–84
- Lvs Georgetown69–78
- L@ Purdue59–79
3 days since their last game.