Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
VT -6.5✓ VT covered by 6.5
VT -6.5✓ VT covered by 6.5Closing total143.5Over by 21.5
 ND | This season | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 13-5 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ND 72–76 VT · ✓ VT (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 34 | 42 | 76 |
| VT | 45 | 44 | 89 |
1st half: ND 34, VT 45 (VT by 11). The model had VT by 2.1 and a total of 69.5 (actual 79).
Team stats
| ND | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 28-32 88% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Logan Imes G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 23 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Carson Towt F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Certa G | 29 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Brady Koehler F | 22 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Matthew MacLellan F | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Ryder Frost, Markus Burton, Brady Stevens, Mark Zackery IV, Kebba Njie
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hammond G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 31 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Schutt G | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 29 | 22 | 11 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brett Freeman, Antonio Dorn, Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Sin'Cere Jones, Izaiah Pasha, Tyler Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVT -6.5
ModelVT -3.7
Model edgeND +2.8
L VT covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
W Over
Projected score
ND 72.3 · VT 76
ND 76 · VT 89
Win probability
VT 63%
1st half
Spread
VT -2.1
VT -11.0
Total
69.5
79 points
Projected score
ND 33.7 · VT 35.8
ND 34 · VT 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVT -4.5
2 → VT
CloseVT -6.5
2 pts toward VT
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ND +230 · VT -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -4.5 · closed VT -6.5 · moved 2 toward VTmodel VT -3.5
model VT -3.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| VT | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ND 1–6 VTVT leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · VT has won the last 2 meetings · ND 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | VT 65 @ ND 63 | ND -7.5 | VT W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | ND 76 @ VT 82 | VT -10.5 | ND W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | VT 66 @ ND 74 | ND +5.5 | ND W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | ND 64 vs VT 67 | VT -6.5 | ND W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | VT 93 @ ND 87 | ND +5.5 | VT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Notre Dame
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ TCU | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDHO | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs EVAN | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs PFW | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 30 | @ STAN | W 47-40 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAL | L 71-72 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs CLEM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs MIA | L 69-81 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+8.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+3.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+9.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−14.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
+13.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+2.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
−11.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+30.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+0.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+3.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−8.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
−56.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+4.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
+3.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
+6.5
over 10under 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia Tech
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs UVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vsSTAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | vsCAL | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @ SMU | L 76-77 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
−2.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
+4.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
−2.5
over 10under 8avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Notre Dame
10-7 overall · 1-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami69–81
- Lvs Clemson61–76
- L@ California71–72
- W@ Stanford47–40
- Lvs Purdue FW69–72
4 days since their last game.
Virginia Tech
13-5 overall · 2-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SMU76–77
- Wvs California78–75
- Lvs Stanford68–69
- L@ Wake Forest78–81
- Wvs Virginia95–85
3 days since their last game.