Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson · Conference game
Closing line
CLEM -15.5✓ CLEM covered by 8.5
CLEM -15.5✓ CLEM covered by 8.5Closing total136.5Under by 12.5
 BC | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 14-3 |
| 5-11 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 8-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BC 61–77 CLEM · ✓ CLEM (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 27 | 23 | 50 |
| CLEM | 37 | 37 | 74 |
1st half: BC 27, CLEM 37 (CLEM by 10). The model had CLEM by 9.3 and a total of 64.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BC | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-47 43% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 5-13 38% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 8 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-17 | 2-4 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 31 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 28 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Luka Toews G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Boden Kapke F | 25 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Chase Forte G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will Eggemeier, Jack DiDonna, Jason Asemota, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Hunter G | 35 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Carter Welling F | 31 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Jestin Porter G | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 14 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Davidson F | 25 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 8-11 | 4-6 |
| Butta Johnson G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Ace Buckner G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Chase Thompson F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trent Steinour F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Davidson, Zac Foster
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLEM -15.5
ModelCLEM -15.8
Model edgeCLEM +0.3
W CLEM covered
Total
Market136.5
Model138.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
BC 61.2 · CLEM 77
BC 50 · CLEM 74
Win probability
CLEM 92%
1st half
Spread
CLEM -9.3
CLEM -10.0
Total
64.7
64 points
Projected score
BC 27.7 · CLEM 37
BC 27 · CLEM 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -17.5
2 → BC
CloseCLEM -15.5
2 pts toward BC
Total
Open130.5
▲ 6
Close136.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
BC +900 · CLEM -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -17.5 · closed CLEM -15.5 · moved 2 toward BCmodel CLEM -16
model CLEM -16
Opened 130.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 6 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| CLEM | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BC 3–3 CLEMSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · BC 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | CLEM 78 @ BC 69 | BC +15.5 | BC W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | BC 76 vs CLEM 55 | CLEM -7.5 | BC W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | BC 78 @ CLEM 89 | CLEM -10.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | CLEM 54 @ BC 62 | BC +4.5 | BC W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | CLEM 70 @ BC 60 | BC +1 | CLEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston College
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
over 6under 10avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
17 games played
Straight up
14-3
82% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
over 8under 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston College
7-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisville62–75
- Lvs NC State71–79
- L@ Georgia Tech53–65
- Wvs Le Moyne72–64
- Wvs FDU72–61
3 days since their last game.
Clemson
14-3 overall · 4-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Notre Dame76–61
- Wvs SMU74–70
- W@ Pitt73–68
- W@ Syracuse64–61
- Wvs Cincinnati68–65
3 days since their last game.