Conte Forum · at Boston College · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -11.5✓ BC covered by 3.5
NCSU -11.5✓ BC covered by 3.5Closing total141.5Over by 8.5
| NCSU | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 7-7 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 3-11 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCSU 79–68 BC · ✓ NCSU (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 40 | 39 | 79 |
| BC | 32 | 39 | 71 |
1st half: NCSU 40, BC 32 (NCSU by 8). The model had NCSU by 6.8 and a total of 68.9 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NCSU | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 23-45 51% |
| 13-22 59% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 27 12 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Williams F | 34 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 8-18 | 4-7 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 24 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Alyn Breed G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 32 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tre Holloman, Colt Langdon, Jordan Snell, Jerry Deng, Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 32 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Fred Payne G | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 27 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Boden Kapke F | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Luka Toews G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chase Forte G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Steger G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jack Bailey, Jack DiDonna, Kany Musungay, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Jason Asemota
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -12.5
1 → BC
CloseNCSU -11.5
1 pt toward BC
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NCSU -850 · BC +575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -12.5 · closed NCSU -11.5 · moved 1 toward BCmodel NCSU -11
model NCSU -11
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -11.5 | NCSU -11.2 | BC +0.3 | W BC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 147.0 | Over 5.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NCSU 79.1 · BC 67.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -6.8 | NCSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.9 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | NCSU 37.8 · BC 31 | NCSU 40 · BC 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| BC | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NCSU 4–1 BCNCSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · NCSU has won the last 4 meetings · NCSU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | BC 62 @ NCSU 70 | NCSU -8.5 | BC W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | BC 70 @ NCSU 81 | NCSU -5.5 | NCSU W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | NCSU 84 @ BC 78 | BC -2.5 | NCSU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | NCSU 92 @ BC 62 | BC +5.5 | NCSU W |
| Feb 23, 2021-22 | BC 69 @ NCSU 61 | NCSU -6 | BC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC State
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs WAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
over 7under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
3-11
21% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 11avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
over 5under 9avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC State
10-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia61–76
- Wvs Wake Forest70–57
- Wvs Ole Miss76–62
- Wvs Texas Southern108–72
- Lvs Kansas76–77
3 days since their last game.
Boston College
7-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia Tech53–65
- Wvs Le Moyne72–64
- Wvs FDU72–61
- Lvs UMass74–76
- Wvs New Haven67–63
3 days since their last game.