Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield · Conference game
Closing line
QUIN -2.5✓ QUIN covered by 4.5
QUIN -2.5✓ QUIN covered by 4.5Closing total154.5Under by 17.5
| QUIN | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 13-9 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 8-14 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUIN 78–76 FAIR · ✓ QUIN (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUIN | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| FAIR | 41 | 24 | 65 |
1st half: QUIN 33, FAIR 41 (FAIR by 8). The model had QUIN by 1.3 and a total of 71.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| QUIN | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-61 52% | Field goals | 26-75 35% |
| 2-11 18% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 7-13 54% |
| 42 9 off | Rebounds | 43 21 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 12 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| QUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Zimmerman G | 38 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-14 | 1-3 |
| Amarri Monroe F | 37 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 11-19 | 1-2 |
| Grant Randall F | 32 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Asim Jones G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Spence Wewe F | 22 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keith McKnight F | 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Tai Turnage G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Samson Reilly G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Nosakhare C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ronell Giles Jr., Christopher Skenderi, Jayden Reid, Akintola Akinniyi, Braylan Ritvo, Nate Guerengomba
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 35 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Braden Sparks G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5-20 | 1-9 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 24 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deuce Turner G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mejia G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cam Estevez G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Zan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan May, Michael Rogan, Matt Curtis, Luke Davidson, Nasir Rodriguez, Joe Ganton, Peyton Smith, Noah Best, Tanner Ostop
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUIN -2.5
ModelQUIN -1.9
Model edgeFAIR +0.6
L QUIN covered
Total
Market154.5
Model153.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
QUIN 77.7 · FAIR 75.9
QUIN 72 · FAIR 65
Win probability
QUIN 56%
1st half
Spread
QUIN -1.3
FAIR -8.0
Total
71.9
74 points
Projected score
QUIN 36.6 · FAIR 35.3
QUIN 33 · FAIR 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUIN -1.5
1 → QUIN
CloseQUIN -2.5
1 pt toward QUIN
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
QUIN -142 · FAIR +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUIN -1.5 · closed QUIN -2.5 · moved 1 toward QUINmodel QUIN -2
model QUIN -2
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUIN | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| FAIR | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
QUIN 5–3 FAIRQUIN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · QUIN 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | QUIN 74 @ FAIR 83 | FAIR +1.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | FAIR 69 @ QUIN 81 | QUIN -12.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | FAIR 85 @ QUIN 81 | QUIN -3.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | QUIN 66 @ FAIR 64 | FAIR -1.5 | QUIN W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | QUIN 82 @ FAIR 92 | FAIR +2.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Quinnipiac
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SJU | L 74-108 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 6 | vs CCSU | W 71-49 | -9.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | vs YALE | L 60-97 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ ME | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | @ PITT | W 83-75 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | @ UCF | L 91-102 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 30 | vs STO | W 76-62 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | @ IONA | W 89-68 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs RID | W 72-58 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs UML | W 75-71 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 17 | @ MONM | W 85-75 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ HOF | L 66-74 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs MRST | W 64-58 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ MAN | L 79-80 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | vs MSM | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 11 | @ SHU | W 70-60 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vs SPU | L 70-74 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ MRMK | L 71-83 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | vsMAN | W 98-92 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 22 | @MSM | W 77-62 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @MRST | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | vsSHU | L 91-98 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 189 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
−7.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
+12.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
−30.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
+2.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+20.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+2.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−1.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
+23.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−0.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−8.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+11.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−0.5
29
vsMRST
MRSTW 64-58
+3.5
2
@MAN
MANL 79-80
−8.5
4
vsMSM
MSMW 80-69
+3.5
11
@SHU
SHUW 70-60
+4.5
14
vsSPU
SPUL 70-74
−10.5
17
@MRMK
MRMKL 71-83
−13.5
19
vsMAN
MANW 98-92
−7.5
22
@MSM
MSMW 77-62
+10.5
24
@MRST
MRSTL 64-71
−3.5
30
vsSHU
SHUL 91-98
−15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
+25.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
−30.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
+0.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
−3.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+17.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+30.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−10.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
−6.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−17.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−7.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+14.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−7.5
29
vsMRST
MRSTW 64-58
−23.5
2
@MAN
MANL 79-80
−0.5
4
vsMSM
MSMW 80-69
−1.5
11
@SHU
SHUW 70-60
−22.5
14
vsSPU
SPUL 70-74
+3.5
17
@MRMK
MRMKL 71-83
+12.5
19
vsMAN
MANW 98-92
+36.5
22
@MSM
MSMW 77-62
−9.5
24
@MRST
MRSTL 64-71
−4.5
30
vsSHU
SHUL 91-98
+32.5
over 9under 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vsSTO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vsMONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vsRID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @ SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
over 11under 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Quinnipiac
13-9 overall · 7-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sacred Heart91–98
- L@ Marist64–71
- W@ Mount St Marys77–62
- Wvs Manhattan98–92
- L@ Merrimack71–83
2 days since their last game.
Fairfield
13-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Iona71–70
- Wvs Canisius61–55
- Wvs Niagara62–61
- L@ Siena77–85
- L@ Marist67–82
2 days since their last game.