Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon · Conference game
Closing line
GCU -26.5✓ AF covered by 2.5
GCU -26.5✓ AF covered by 2.5Closing total137.5Over by 0.5
 AF | This season | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-18 | Record | 14-7 |
| 6-15 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 8-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 56–79 GCU · ✓ GCU (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 18 | 39 | 57 |
| GCU | 48 | 33 | 81 |
1st half: AF 18, GCU 48 (GCU by 30). The model had GCU by 13.6 and a total of 63.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| AF | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-51 39% | Field goals | 32-61 52% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 10-21 48% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 13 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Eli Robinson F | 27 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Kam Sanders G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Dering F | 24 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-1 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hinds G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elliott Taite, Keaton Frisch, Sam Imade, Chris Catchings, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete, Caleb Walker
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Jaden Henley G | 23 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Makaih Williams G | 23 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 21 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Efe Demirel C | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dusty Stromer G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Dennis Evans C | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Evan Boisdur G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cole Pepe G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Shaw, Caleb Shaw, Braylon Johnson, Jack Sawyer
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGCU -26.5
ModelGCU -23.0
Model edgeAF +3.5
W AF covered
Total
Market137.5
Model134.9
Model edgeUnder 2.6
L Over
Projected score
AF 55.9 · GCU 79
AF 57 · GCU 81
Win probability
GCU 98%
1st half
Spread
GCU -13.6
GCU -30.0
Total
63.2
66 points
Projected score
AF 24.8 · GCU 38.4
AF 18 · GCU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGCU -25.5
1 → GCU
CloseGCU -26.5
1 pt toward GCU
Total
Open133.5
▲ 4
Close137.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
AF +2500 · GCU -9000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GCU -25.5 · closed GCU -26.5 · moved 1 toward GCUmodel GCU -23
model GCU -23
Opened 133.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 upmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 0-10 0% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| GCU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
21 games played
Straight up
3-18
14% wins
Against the spread
6-15
29% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @ SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vs WYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vs USU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @ SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vs NEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @ CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vs FRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 15avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
over 10under 11avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grand Canyon
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vsIUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vsSJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @UNM | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSU | W 84-74 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vsSDSU | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @FRES | W 68-57 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 27 | @NEV | L 60-66 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vsBOIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
−16.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+15.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
+2.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
+6.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−2.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
+4.5
17
vsUSU
USUW 84-74
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 70-69
−6.5
24
@FRES
FRESW 68-57
−20.5
27
@NEV
NEVL 60-66
−17.5
30
vsBOIS
BOISW 86-69
+13.5
over 8under 13avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-18 overall · 0-10 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fresno St62–79
- L@ Boise St54–96
- L@ Colorado St52–81
- Lvs Nevada66–81
- L@ San José St62–70
3 days since their last game.
Grand Canyon
14-7 overall · 7-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boise St86–69
- L@ Nevada60–66
- W@ Fresno St68–57
- Wvs San Diego St70–69
- Wvs Utah State84–74
4 days since their last game.