McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word · Conference game
Closing line
UIW -1.5✓ UIW covered by 10.5
UIW -1.5✓ UIW covered by 10.5Closing total138.5Under by 6.5
 LAM | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 8-18 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 9-17 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAM 70–70 UIW · ✗ LAM (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAM | 22 | 38 | 60 |
| UIW | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: LAM 22, UIW 37 (UIW by 15). The model had LAM by 0.3 and a total of 65.7 (actual 59).
Team stats
| LAM | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 22-43 51% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 7 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| LAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lee Jr. G | 34 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 7-16 | 1-8 |
| Braden East F | 30 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-12 | 1-2 |
| Andrew Holifield F | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Cody Pennebaker G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Errol White F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eian Lowe G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| King-Njhsanni Wilhite G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| B.B. Knight G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Janko Bulajic C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Gambrell G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spencer Ezewiro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Thomas, Quinton Sanders, Izuchukwu Emelife, Jayden Barrs
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 40 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Love Bettis G | 40 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Davion Bailey G | 40 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-8 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Glover F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Harold Woods G | 31 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amani Drummond, Tyler Simon, Esteban Mann, Isaiah Kortas, Jordan Pyke, Harrison Reede, Drew Barbee, Jayden Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUIW -1.5
ModelLAM -0.4
Model edgeLAM +1.9
L UIW covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
LAM 70.3 · UIW 70
LAM 60 · UIW 72
Win probability
LAM 51%
1st half
Spread
LAM -0.3
UIW -15.0
Total
65.7
59 points
Projected score
LAM 33 · UIW 32.7
LAM 22 · UIW 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAM -1.5
3 → UIW
CloseUIW -1.5
3 pts toward UIW
Total
Open143.5
▼ 5
Close138.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
LAM +102 · UIW -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAM -1.5 · closed UIW -1.5 · moved 3 toward UIWmodel LAM -0.5
model LAM -0.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 5 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAM | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UIW | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LAM 4–3 UIWLAM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LAM 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | UIW 51 @ LAM 63 | LAM -1.5 | LAM W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | LAM 61 @ UIW 73 | UIW -1.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 6, 2024-25 | UIW 58 @ LAM 72 | LAM -2.5 | LAM W |
| Feb 12, 2023-24 | LAM 67 @ UIW 76 | UIW +5.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 8, 2023-24 | UIW 59 @ LAM 75 | LAM -6.5 | LAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lamar
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ TCU | L 65-78 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | @ ULM | W 79-66 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONT | W 68-63 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 24 | vs OAK | L 68-83 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs UL | W 65-55 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs AMCC | L 49-57 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Dec 10 | @ SDSU | L 71-89 | +17.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs RGV | L 72-83 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | vs OMA | L 82-85 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 29 | @ NWST | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 31 | @ ETAM | W 69-62 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | @ MCN | L 70-82 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | @ SELA | L 52-60 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIW | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | vs HCU | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | @ NICH | W 90-80 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 19 | @ NOLA | L 76-89 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs SFA | L 81-88 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 27 | vsETAM | W 82-61 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 31 | vsMCN | L 63-64 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 2 | vsSELA | W 73-54 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | @SFA | L 74-84 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 9 | vsNWST | L 68-70 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 14 | @AMCC | L 63-76 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 16 | @RGV | L 65-70 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 21 | vsNOLA | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 23 | vsNICH | L 52-53 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@TCU
TCUL 65-78
+5.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 79-66
+1.5
23
@MONT
MONTW 68-63
+9.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 68-83
−11.5
3
vsUL
ULW 65-55
−0.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−11.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
−0.5
16
vsRGV
RGVL 72-83
−14.5
20
vsOMA
OMAL 82-85
−8.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 76-61
+11.5
31
@ETAM
ETAMW 69-62
+1.5
2
@MCN
MCNL 70-82
+4.5
5
@SELA
SELAL 52-60
−9.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 63-51
+10.5
12
vsHCU
HCUW 64-56
−0.5
17
@NICH
NICHW 90-80
+13.5
19
@NOLA
NOLAL 76-89
−14.5
24
vsSFA
SFAL 81-88
−2.5
27
vsETAM
ETAMW 82-61
+14.5
31
vsMCN
MCNL 63-64
+9.5
2
vsSELA
SELAW 73-54
+13.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 74-84
−1.5
9
vsNWST
NWSTL 68-70
−8.5
14
@AMCC
AMCCL 63-76
−10.5
16
@RGV
RGVL 65-70
+1.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAL 71-77
−10.5
23
vsNICH
NICHL 52-53
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@TCU
TCUL 65-78
−4.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 79-66
+4.5
23
@MONT
MONTW 68-63
−17.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 68-83
+2.5
3
vsUL
ULW 65-55
−9.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−30.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
+24.5
16
vsRGV
RGVL 72-83
+15.5
20
vsOMA
OMAL 82-85
+25.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 76-61
−1.5
31
@ETAM
ETAMW 69-62
−12.5
2
@MCN
MCNL 70-82
+6.5
5
@SELA
SELAL 52-60
−23.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 63-51
−26.5
12
vsHCU
HCUW 64-56
−14.5
17
@NICH
NICHW 90-80
+30.5
19
@NOLA
NOLAL 76-89
+20.5
24
vsSFA
SFAL 81-88
+32.5
27
vsETAM
ETAMW 82-61
+2.5
31
vsMCN
MCNL 63-64
−17.5
2
vsSELA
SELAW 73-54
−5.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 74-84
+19.5
9
vsNWST
NWSTL 68-70
+2.5
14
@AMCC
AMCCL 63-76
+3.5
16
@RGV
RGVL 65-70
−6.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAL 71-77
+1.5
23
vsNICH
NICHL 52-53
−38.5
over 14under 13avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
26 games played
Straight up
8-18
31% wins
Against the spread
9-17
35% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vsMCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs NAU | W 90-66 | -6.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsSELA | W 79-70 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsHCU | W 73-56 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 5 | @RGV | L 67-80 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @LAM | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | @SFA | L 46-56 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | vsNWST | W 76-74 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | vsETAM | L 58-80 | -6.5 | L −28.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vsAMCC | L 71-79 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @HCU | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsRGV | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 2 | @AMCC | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @MCN | L 64-81 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | @SELA | L 62-74 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsNICH | L 83-91 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 16 | vsNOLA | L 64-78 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 154.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @ETAM | W 82-73 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 23 | @NWST | L 49-54 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 103 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+17.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+2.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
+10.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
−11.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−10.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−2.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
−6.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−28.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
−9.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
−7.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
−11.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
+6.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−10.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
−10.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−16.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+12.5
23
@NWST
NWSTL 49-54
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 17avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+15.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+13.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
−12.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
+0.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−26.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−38.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
+8.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−4.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
+13.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
+15.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
+58.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
−0.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−1.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
+25.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−12.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+9.5
23
@NWST
NWSTL 49-54
−35.5
over 13under 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lamar
10-17 overall · 7-13 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nicholls52–53
- Lvs LSU N Orleans71–77
- L@ UT Rio Grande65–70
- L@ Texas A&M-CC63–76
- Lvs N'Western St68–70
5 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
8-18 overall · 6-14 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N'Western St49–54
- W@ East Texas A&M82–73
- Lvs LSU N Orleans64–78
- Lvs Nicholls83–91
- L@ SE Louisiana62–74
5 days since their last game.