Bender Arena · at American · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -8.5✓ AMER covered by 6.5
AMER -8.5✓ AMER covered by 6.5Closing total154.5Under by 1.5
 L-MD | This season | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| 2-9 | Record | 5-6 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 9-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 73–80 AMER · ✓ AMER (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| AMER | 44 | 40 | 84 |
1st half: L-MD 36, AMER 44 (AMER by 8). The model had AMER by 4.4 and a total of 71.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| L-MD | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-49 43% | Field goals | 35-59 59% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 23 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 33 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 30 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Emmett Adair F | 26 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Sam Springer F | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyson Commander G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Jonas Sirtautas F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Garrett Brennan G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Everett Barnes F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Menker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peter Sposito, Goap Kodi
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 29 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 27 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Matt Mayock F | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 21 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kade Sebastian G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Madden Collins G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Chris Eagan F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Anderson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Casey G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dean Hogans, Kamran Prince, Eric Michaels, Noah Jones, Carson McDonald, Shane O'Reilly, Gibraltar Coleman, Adrian Samuels
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAMER -8.5
ModelAMER -7.6
Model edgeL-MD +0.9
L AMER covered
Total
Market154.5
Model152.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
W Under
Projected score
L-MD 72.6 · AMER 80.3
L-MD 69 · AMER 84
Win probability
AMER 75%
1st half
Spread
AMER -4.4
AMER -8.0
Total
71.6
80 points
Projected score
L-MD 33.6 · AMER 38
L-MD 36 · AMER 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -8.5
no move
CloseAMER -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +350 · AMER -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -8.5 · unchangedmodel AMER -7.5
model AMER -7.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
L-MD 3–5 AMERAMER leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · AMER has won the last 2 meetings · L-MD 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | L-MD 51 @ AMER 72 | AMER -4.5 | AMER W |
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | AMER 73 @ L-MD 54 | L-MD -1.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | L-MD 44 @ AMER 43 | AMER -8.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | AMER 66 @ L-MD 52 | L-MD +3.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | AMER 77 @ L-MD 83 | L-MD -1.5 | L-MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
over 7under 4avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
American
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
over 9under 2avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
2-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason79–86
- Lvs Mount St Marys73–81
- L@ VMI70–86
- L@ Hampton71–93
- Wvs Coppin St95–84
A week or more of rest.
American
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia51–95
- L@ VCU83–105
- Wvs MD Eastern78–60
- Wvs Drexel75–73
- Wvs Longwood92–66
A week or more of rest.