Bender Arena · at American · Conference game
Closing line
NAVY -2.5✓ AMER covered by 16.5
NAVY -2.5✓ AMER covered by 16.5Closing total139.5Under by 23.5
| NAVY | This season | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 7-8 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAVY 72–71 AMER · ✗ NAVY (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 17 | 34 | 51 |
| AMER | 33 | 32 | 65 |
1st half: NAVY 17, AMER 33 (AMER by 16). The model had NAVY by 1.2 and a total of 67.0 (actual 50).
Team stats
| NAVY | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-46 33% | Field goals | 25-66 38% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 8-37 22% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 42 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni G | 35 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 35 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pennick G | 31 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 29 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Mike Woods F | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Draper F | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Cam Cole G | 26 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
Did not play: Matt Gaffney, Tobi Raji, Colin Pollock, Steven McLeod, Jerry Ashley Jr., Jordan McConnell, Luke Morgan, C.J. Kearns, Owen Gray, Cooper Jackson, David Burnett, Davyn de Jongh and 6 more
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-6 |
| Matt Mayock F | 33 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-6 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 29 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 25 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| Madden Collins G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Luke Brown F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dean Hogans, Jack Anderson, Matthew Casey, Carson McDonald, Noah Jones, Adrian Samuels, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince, Gibraltar Coleman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -2.5
ModelNAVY -1.9
Model edgeAMER +0.6
W AMER covered
Total
Market139.5
Model143.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
L Under
Projected score
NAVY 72.4 · AMER 70.6
NAVY 51 · AMER 65
Win probability
NAVY 56%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -1.2
AMER -16.0
Total
67.0
50 points
Projected score
NAVY 34.1 · AMER 32.9
NAVY 17 · AMER 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -1.5
4 → NAVY
CloseNAVY -2.5
4 pts toward NAVY
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NAVY -162 · AMER +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -1.5 · closed NAVY -2.5 · moved 4 toward NAVYmodel NAVY -2
model NAVY -2
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
NAVY 7–4 AMERNAVY leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · NAVY 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | NAVY 52 @ AMER 74 | AMER -3.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | NAVY 68 @ AMER 60 | AMER -3.5 | NAVY W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | AMER 58 @ NAVY 81 | NAVY +1.5 | NAVY W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | NAVY 71 @ AMER 65 | AMER -7.5 | NAVY W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | AMER 59 @ NAVY 42 | NAVY -2.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Navy
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vs GWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @ UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs SELA | L 65-69 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ DSU | W 66-59 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | vs AF | W 61-56 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 19 | vs COPP | W 88-55 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 31 | vs BU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ HC | W 65-58 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | vs BUCK | W 76-55 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs LAF | W 76-50 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−7.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−8.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−4.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
+12.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+0.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
+1.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
+12.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
+17.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−2.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−7.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−16.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
−2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+21.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
−14.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
−6.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
−15.5
over 4under 11avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
American
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vsHC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
over 10under 5avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Navy
10-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lafayette76–50
- Wvs Bucknell76–55
- W@ Holy Cross65–58
- Wvs Boston U82–77
- Wvs Coppin St88–55
2 days since their last game.
American
7-8 overall · 2-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Holy Cross73–84
- L@ Colgate62–64
- W@ Boston U64–62
- Wvs Loyola MD84–69
- L@ Virginia51–95
2 days since their last game.