Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati
Closing line
CIN -13.5✓ CIN covered by 13.5
CIN -13.5✓ CIN covered by 13.5Closing total150.5Over by 0.5
 LIP | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 7-5 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 3-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 66–79 CIN · ✓ CIN (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 24 | 38 | 62 |
| CIN | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: LIP 24, CIN 44 (CIN by 20). The model had CIN by 7.5 and a total of 67.8 (actual 68).
Team stats
| LIP | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 36-75 48% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 45 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 21 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Grant Asman F | 25 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Charlie Williams C | 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ross Candelino G | 30 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Cole Middleton F | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Luke Carter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles White, Logan Suber, Luke Jack, Devyn Martin, Ethan Duncan, Josh Scott
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 27 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Jizzle James G | 25 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 24 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Sencire Harris G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kerr Kriisa G | 20 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Shon Abaev F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 16 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Grant Darbyshire G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Tyler McKinley, Jalen Haynes
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCIN -13.5
ModelCIN -12.7
Model edgeLIP +0.8
L CIN covered
Total
Market150.5
Model144.8
Model edgeUnder 5.7
L Over
Projected score
LIP 66 · CIN 78.7
LIP 62 · CIN 89
Win probability
CIN 87%
1st half
Spread
CIN -7.5
CIN -20.0
Total
67.8
68 points
Projected score
LIP 30.2 · CIN 37.7
LIP 24 · CIN 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -13.5
no move
CloseCIN -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LIP +750 · CIN -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -13.5 · unchangedmodel CIN -12.5
model CIN -12.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| CIN | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
over 6under 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsWCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
over 3under 9avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke73–97
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–58
- Wvs Tennessee Tech83–80
- W@ SE Missouri88–77
- W@ Marshall90–67
A week or more of rest.
Cincinnati
7-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Clemson65–68
- Wvs Alabama St88–51
- Lvs Georgia65–84
- L@ Xavier74–79
- Wvs Tarleton St76–58
A week or more of rest.