Baxter Arena · at Omaha · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -4.5✓ OMA covered by 8.5
STMN -4.5✓ OMA covered by 8.5Closing total156.5Over by 35.5
| STMN | This season | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| 17-6 | Record | 8-14 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 14-9 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 80–75 OMA · ✗ STMN (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 42 | 52 | 94 |
| OMA | 47 | 51 | 98 |
1st half: STMN 42, OMA 47 (OMA by 5). The model had STMN by 2.9 and a total of 72.5 (actual 89).
Team stats
| STMN | OMA | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-64 58% | Field goals | 32-60 53% |
| 14-33 42% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 6-14 43% | Free throws | 25-28 89% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 21 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 35 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-4 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 32 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 30 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 7-16 | 2-7 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 25 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 24 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Adam Tauer, Kyle Counts, Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Tommy Humphries Jr., Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Austin Herro
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn G | 38 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Valentino Simon F | 32 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 31 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Paul Djobet F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| Lance Waddles G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 26 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Brock Scholl F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Ondekane, Rob Matos, Deng Mayar, Aidan Skradis, Julian Margrave, Christian Richardson, Benji Nelson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -4.5
no move
CloseSTMN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
STMN -205 · OMA +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -4.5 · unchangedmodel STMN -4.5 matches the line
model STMN -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STMN -4.5 | STMN -4.7 | STMN +0.2 | L OMA covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 155.1 | Under 1.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | STMN 79.9 · OMA 75.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STMN -2.9 | OMA -5.0 |
| 1H total | 72.5 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | STMN 37.7 · OMA 34.8 | STMN 42 · OMA 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| OMA | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
STMN 6–3 OMASTMN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · STMN 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | STMN 75 vs OMA 85 | OMA +3.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | OMA 84 @ STMN 95 | STMN -7.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | STMN 78 @ OMA 89 | OMA +3.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | OMA 61 @ STMN 88 | STMN -7.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | STMN 65 @ OMA 69 | OMA +2.5 | OMA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @ UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vs SDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsUND | L 80-81 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs KC | W 99-64 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 4 | @SDST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsORU | W 92-75 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
−12.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+17.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
+16.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
+8.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+11.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
−18.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+15.5
over 14under 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Omaha
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vsUNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsKC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsNDSU | L 76-78 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORU | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsSDAK | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @KC | W 77-60 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 28 | vsSDST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | @DEN | W 84-82 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @UND | L 73-76 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @NDSU | L 84-92 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+3.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
+12.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−10.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
+12.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+3.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+6.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−28.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
−11.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+0.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+7.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+29.5
over 12under 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
17-6 overall · 9-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oral Roberts92–75
- W@ S Dakota St77–62
- Wvs Kansas City99–64
- Lvs North Dakota80–81
- W@ South Dakota90–78
5 days since their last game.
Omaha
8-14 overall · 5-6 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Dakota St84–92
- L@ North Dakota73–76
- W@ Denver84–82
- Wvs S Dakota St80–71
- W@ Kansas City77–60
5 days since their last game.