Lee & Penny Anderson Arena · at St Thomas · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -11.5✓ UND covered by 12.5
STMN -11.5✓ UND covered by 12.5Closing total152.5Over by 8.5
 UND | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 14-5 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UND 72–83 STMN · ✗ STMN (83%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 35 | 46 | 81 |
| STMN | 43 | 37 | 80 |
1st half: UND 35, STMN 43 (STMN by 8). The model had STMN by 6.5 and a total of 72.4 (actual 78).
Team stats
| UND | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 22 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli King G | 37 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5-14 | 2-8 |
| Zach Kraft G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Greyson Uelmen G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Garrett Anderson G | 28 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 8-19 | 4-10 |
| Josh Jones C | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Smith III G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| George Natsvlishvili F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Reggie Thomas G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Wylee Delorme G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Doppler, Matthew Bothun, Marley Curtis, Karson Ouse, Ryan Erikson, Micah Curtis
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 38 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 9-17 | 2-7 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 34 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 7-18 | 2-7 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 32 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Austin Herro G | 29 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 19 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kyle Counts, Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Adam Tauer, Hayden Tibbits, Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -11.5
ModelSTMN -11.1
Model edgeUND +0.4
W UND covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
UND 71.8 · STMN 82.9
UND 81 · STMN 80
Win probability
STMN 83%
1st half
Spread
STMN -6.5
STMN -8.0
Total
72.4
78 points
Projected score
UND 33 · STMN 39.4
UND 35 · STMN 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -12.5
1 → UND
CloseSTMN -11.5
1 pt toward UND
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Close152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UND +575 · STMN -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -12.5 · closed STMN -11.5 · moved 1 toward UNDmodel STMN -11
model STMN -11
Opened 153.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| STMN | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UND 3–7 STMNSTMN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 4 meetings · UND 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | STMN 91 @ UND 80 | UND +10.5 | STMN W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UND 69 vs STMN 85 | STMN -7.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UND 71 @ STMN 86 | STMN -9.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STMN 88 @ UND 80 | UND +5.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UND 74 @ STMN 64 | STMN -8.5 | UND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Dakota
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ALA | L 62-91 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 6 | vs UCR | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs CSUN | L 85-93 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @UCR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 19 | @ CREI | L 60-75 | +29.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 22 | vs CCU | L 58-75 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ WIU | W 78-69 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 28 | @ HAW | L 55-92 | +18.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 3 | @ IDHO | L 58-90 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONT | L 75-79 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 13 | vsWIU | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIN | W 90-88 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | @ NEB | L 55-78 | +29.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 1 | vs ORU | W 72-61 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs SDST | W 90-87 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @ OMA | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ KC | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vsSTMN | L 80-91 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs SDAK | W 96-80 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 22 | @ORU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ DEN | W 93-86 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−5.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
−1.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+5.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
+14.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−13.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+6.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−18.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−20.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
+1.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+14.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
+6.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
+9.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+10.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
−5.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+3.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
−0.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+14.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
+18.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
−17.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−2.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
+19.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+1.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
−20.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−14.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+0.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−2.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−3.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+20.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
−18.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
−15.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+24.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
+22.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+13.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
+19.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+15.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
−8.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+16.5
over 10under 11avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vsUCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vsDEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vsSDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vsSDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
over 11under 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Dakota
9-12 overall · 6-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Denver93–86
- W@ Oral Roberts79–62
- Wvs South Dakota96–80
- Lvs St Thomas80–91
- W@ Kansas City81–79
5 days since their last game.
St Thomas
14-5 overall · 6-1 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Dakota90–78
- Wvs S Dakota St74–69
- L@ N Dakota St65–68
- W@ North Dakota91–80
- W@ Oral Roberts82–71
5 days since their last game.