John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -15.5✓ BRWN covered by 3.5
YALE -15.5✓ BRWN covered by 3.5Closing total140.5Over by 9.5
 BRWN | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 14-4 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRWN 64–80 YALE · ✓ YALE (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRWN | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| YALE | 31 | 50 | 81 |
1st half: BRWN 36, YALE 31 (BRWN by 5). The model had YALE by 9.3 and a total of 67.3 (actual 67).
Team stats
| BRWN | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 26-46 57% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 12-25 48% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 17-28 61% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BRWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Jenkins G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Landon Lewis F | 30 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Luke Paragon G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-7 |
| N'famara Dabo F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Uchidiuno G | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| David Rochester G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Charlie O'Sullivan F | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Langham G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Loughlin, Jonah Drezner, Jerrell Barron Jr., Wyatt DeGraaf, AJ Lesburt Jr., Drew Kania
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 35 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Samson Aletan C | 26 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Casey Simmons G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 28 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 9-13 | 4-6 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Devon Arlington G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Sullivan, Daniel Ogunyemi, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -15.5
ModelYALE -15.8
Model edgeYALE +0.3
L BRWN covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
BRWN 64 · YALE 79.8
BRWN 69 · YALE 81
Win probability
YALE 92%
1st half
Spread
YALE -9.3
BRWN -5.0
Total
67.3
67 points
Projected score
BRWN 29 · YALE 38.3
BRWN 36 · YALE 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -15.5
no move
CloseYALE -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BRWN +950 · YALE -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -15.5 · unchangedmodel YALE -16
model YALE -16
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRWN | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| YALE | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BRWN 1–9 YALEYALE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 4 meetings · BRWN 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | YALE 70 @ BRWN 53 | BRWN +8.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | YALE 70 @ BRWN 61 | BRWN +8.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BRWN 58 @ YALE 79 | YALE -9.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 17, 2023-24 | BRWN 61 vs YALE 62 | YALE -7.5 | BRWN W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | BRWN 84 @ YALE 81 | YALE -11.5 | BRWN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Brown
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIE | L 46-62 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 9 | vs UVM | L 84-89 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | @ BU | L 77-90 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 14 | vs HAMP | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 18 | vs HC | W 68-49 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 20 | @ STBK | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ ME | W 58-53 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNH | W 59-47 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Dec 2 | @ URI | L 56-66 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 5 | vs BRY | W 75-56 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 9 | @ PROV | L 79-86 | +19.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 5 | vsYALE | L 53-70 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PENN | L 73-81 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs COLU | W 86-80 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 19 | vs COR | L 67-89 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ PRIN | L 53-63 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | vs HARV | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | vs DART | L 70-77 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−12.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+0.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
−9.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−10.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
+16.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
−6.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
+3.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
+6.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
+3.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+12.5
9
@PROV
PROVL 79-86
+12.5
5
vsYALE
YALEL 53-70
−8.5
10
@PENN
PENNL 73-81
−2.5
17
vsCOLU
COLUW 86-80
+8.5
19
vsCOR
CORL 67-89
−19.5
24
@PRIN
PRINL 53-63
−5.5
30
vsHARV
HARVL 59-69
−8.5
31
vsDART
DARTL 70-77
−8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−34.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+41.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
+37.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−4.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
−24.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
+13.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
−16.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
−30.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
−16.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+0.5
9
@PROV
PROVL 79-86
+19.5
5
vsYALE
YALEL 53-70
−19.5
10
@PENN
PENNL 73-81
+8.5
17
vsCOLU
COLUW 86-80
+22.5
19
vsCOR
CORL 67-89
−7.5
24
@PRIN
PRINL 53-63
−18.5
30
vsHARV
HARVL 59-69
−4.5
31
vsDART
DARTL 70-77
+4.5
over 8under 10avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
18 games played
Straight up
14-4
78% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vsSTBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vsURI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vsDART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsHARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
over 9under 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Brown
5-13 overall · 1-6 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Dartmouth70–77
- Lvs Harvard59–69
- L@ Princeton53–63
- Lvs Cornell67–89
- Wvs Columbia86–80
6 days since their last game.
Yale
14-4 overall · 5-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Harvard65–67
- Wvs Dartmouth83–68
- W@ Penn77–60
- Wvs Columbia91–74
- Wvs Cornell102–68
6 days since their last game.