Memorial Coliseum (IN) · at Purdue FW · Conference game
Closing line
PFW -2.5✓ YSU covered by 31.5
PFW -2.5✓ YSU covered by 31.5Closing total147.5Over by 3.5
 YSU | This season | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| 8-12 | Record | 11-9 |
| 6-14 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 73–75 PFW · ✗ PFW (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 45 | 45 | 90 |
| PFW | 29 | 32 | 61 |
1st half: YSU 45, PFW 29 (YSU by 16). The model had PFW by 1.1 and a total of 69.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| YSU | PFW | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-53 66% | Field goals | 24-52 46% |
| 16-28 57% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 30 4 off | Rebounds | 18 3 off |
| 16 | Assists | 6 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Rich Rolf F | 29 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 27 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 8-11 | 1-3 |
| Cam Polak G | 25 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Jason Nelson G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Blackshear G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 19 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Drew King G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Shaheed Solebo G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Derrick Anderson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaiden Haynes, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tyler Robinett
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Corey Hadnot II G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 8-15 | 1-3 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Morgan G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Darius Duffy F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Mosley G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Ebrahim Kaba G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mason Shrout G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ja'Corey Lipkins, Danny Kelly, Solomon Richard, Quentin Morgan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPFW -2.5
no move
ClosePFW -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
YSU +114 · PFW -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PFW -2.5 · unchangedmodel PFW -2
model PFW -2
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PFW -2.5 | PFW -2.2 | YSU +0.3 | W YSU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.6 | Over 1.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YSU 73.2 · PFW 75.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PFW -1.1 | YSU -16.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | YSU 34.2 · PFW 35.4 | YSU 45 · PFW 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
| PFW | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
YSU 4–6 PFWPFW leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · YSU 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | PFW 71 @ YSU 69 | YSU -4.5 | PFW W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | PFW 67 @ YSU 72 | YSU -0.5 | YSU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | PFW 71 @ YSU 93 | YSU +1.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | YSU 81 @ PFW 90 | PFW -5.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | YSU 78 @ PFW 82 | PFW +4.5 | PFW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
6-14
30% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs WRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs OAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @ NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vsPFW | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @WRST | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @ CLE | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs GB | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs MILW | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsIUIN | W 85-76 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−6.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
−5.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
−10.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
−0.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−7.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−5.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
+34.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
+5.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
+29.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−22.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
+7.5
over 11under 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue FW
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vsCHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vsNKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vsDETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsGB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vsCLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @YSU | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @RMU | W 79-74 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 18 | vsMILW | W 100-82 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 21 | @DETM | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsOAK | L 65-74 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vsRMU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
+6.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+9.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+14.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+4.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−7.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
7
@YSU
YSUW 71-69
−5.5
11
@RMU
RMUW 79-74
+6.5
18
vsMILW
MILWW 100-82
+33.5
21
@DETM
DETMW 83-76
+3.5
28
vsOAK
OAKL 65-74
−23.5
31
vsRMU
RMUW 83-71
+8.5
over 11under 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
8-12 overall · 4-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy85–76
- Lvs Milwaukee64–65
- Wvs Green Bay88–81
- L@ Cleveland St78–80
- L@ Wright St83–93
5 days since their last game.
Purdue FW
11-9 overall · 8-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Robert Morris83–71
- Lvs Oakland65–74
- W@ Detroit Mercy83–76
- Wvs Milwaukee100–82
- W@ Robert Morris79–74
4 days since their last game.