UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee · Conference game
Closing line
MILW -9.5✓ CLE covered by 11.5
MILW -9.5✓ CLE covered by 11.5Closing total160.5Over by 17.5
 CLE | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 5-14 | Record | 8-14 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 7-15 |
| 14-5 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLE 76–85 MILW · ✗ MILW (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 44 | 46 | 90 |
| MILW | 39 | 49 | 88 |
1st half: CLE 44, MILW 39 (CLE by 5). The model had MILW by 5.4 and a total of 75.0 (actual 83).
Team stats
| CLE | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 14-36 39% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 36 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Dayan Nessah G | 35 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Tre Beard G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Preist Ryan F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chevalier Emery G | 28 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| Foster Wonders G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Josiah Harris F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Did not play: Ivan Spirov, Lucas Burton, Kevo St. Hilaire, Waqo Tessema, David Giddens, Manny Hill, Kamari Jones
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 39 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Stevie Elam G | 38 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 7-17 | 5-12 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 28 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Amar Augillard G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Dixon G | 28 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tate Mackenzie, Ned Renfree, Danilo Jovanovich, Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Faizon Fields, Simeon Murchison
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMILW -9.5
ModelMILW -9.2
Model edgeCLE +0.3
W CLE covered
Total
Market160.5
Model160.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
L Over
Projected score
CLE 75.6 · MILW 84.8
CLE 90 · MILW 88
Win probability
MILW 79%
1st half
Spread
MILW -5.4
CLE -5.0
Total
75.0
83 points
Projected score
CLE 34.8 · MILW 40.2
CLE 44 · MILW 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -7.5
2 → MILW
CloseMILW -9.5
2 pts toward MILW
Total
Open162.5
▼ 2
Close160.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CLE +380 · MILW -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -7.5 · closed MILW -9.5 · moved 2 toward MILWmodel MILW -9
model MILW -9
Opened 162.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 downmodel 160.5 matches the line
model 160.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| MILW | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CLE 4–6 MILWMILW leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CLE 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025-26 | MILW 81 @ CLE 71 | CLE +6.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MILW 60 @ CLE 77 | CLE -1.5 | CLE W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | CLE 67 @ MILW 79 | MILW -7.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | MILW 71 @ CLE 68 | CLE -4.5 | MILW W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | CLE 80 @ MILW 88 | MILW -2.5 | MILW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cleveland St
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-5
74% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 10 | @ NU | L 63-110 | +23.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs KENT | L 95-102 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | W 87-82 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs VAL | L 75-90 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 22 | @KENT | L 71-91 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 28 | @ MIZ | L 59-86 | +31.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 3 | @ NKU | L 80-95 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | vs DETM | L 59-71 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 17 | @ UAB | L 77-101 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | vsMILW | L 71-81 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs IUIN | W 99-86 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 4 | @ PFW | L 71-74 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 9 | @ OAK | L 74-97 | +15.5 | L −7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | @DETM | L 84-94 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vs GB | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs YSU | W 80-78 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | @ WRST | W 85-79 | +15.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 30 | @GB | W 89-82 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
+4.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
−0.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−13.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
−5.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−3.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+11.5
4
@PFW
PFWL 71-74
+8.5
9
@OAK
OAKL 74-97
−7.5
11
@DETM
DETML 84-94
−3.5
15
vsGB
GBL 73-88
−11.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-78
+10.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 85-79
+21.5
30
@GB
GBW 89-82
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
−25.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
+16.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−28.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
+21.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−8.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+12.5
4
@PFW
PFWL 71-74
−14.5
9
@OAK
OAKL 74-97
+1.5
11
@DETM
DETML 84-94
+15.5
15
vsGB
GBL 73-88
+10.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-78
+5.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 85-79
+7.5
30
@GB
GBW 89-82
+20.5
over 14under 5avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vsPFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsNKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vsIUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vsOAK | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @PFW | L 82-100 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @RMU | L 76-88 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @YSU | W 65-64 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsWRST | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−10.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
−14.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
−7.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
+7.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−33.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
+33.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
+11.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
−22.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−6.5
over 10under 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cleveland St
5-14 overall · 4-7 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Green Bay89–82
- W@ Wright St85–79
- Wvs Youngstown St80–78
- Lvs Green Bay73–88
- L@ Detroit Mercy84–94
2 days since their last game.
Milwaukee
8-14 overall · 5-7 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wright St69–76
- W@ Youngstown St65–64
- L@ Robert Morris76–88
- L@ Purdue FW82–100
- Lvs Oakland60–73
2 days since their last game.