Lenovo Center · at NC State
Closing line
NCSU -1.5✓ KU covered by 2.5
NCSU -1.5✓ KU covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 4.5
 KU | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 7-3 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 2-8 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KU 76–76 NCSU · ✗ NCSU (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 30 | 36 | 11 | 77 |
| NCSU | 30 | 36 | 10 | 76 |
1st half: KU 30, NCSU 30 (tied). The model had KU by 0.1 and a total of 71.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| KU | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-70 43% | Field goals | 28-74 38% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 9-34 26% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 46 10 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 43 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 13-27 | 9-15 |
| Tre White G | 40 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-6 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 32 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 31 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari McDowell G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 18 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wilder Evers, Justin Cross, Will Thengvall, Samis Calderon, Nginyu Ngala, Corbin Allen
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland G | 39 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 39 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Tre Holloman G | 38 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4-16 | 3-12 |
| Darrion Williams F | 34 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 7-17 | 3-9 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alyn Breed G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Matt Able G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colt Langdon, Jerry Deng, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi, Scottie Ebube
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -1.5
ModelNCSU -0.1
Model edgeKU +1.4
W KU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
KU 75.8 · NCSU 75.9
KU 77 · NCSU 76
Win probability
NCSU 50%
1st half
Spread
KU -0.1
tied
Total
71.0
60 points
Projected score
KU 35.6 · NCSU 35.5
KU 30 · NCSU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -1.5
no move
CloseNCSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
KU +110 · NCSU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel NCSU -0
model NCSU -0
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| NCSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KU 2–0 NCSUKU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · KU has won the last 2 meetings · KU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | NCSU 60 @ KU 75 | KU -14.5 | KU W |
| Nov 23, 2022-23 | NCSU 74 vs KU 80 | KU -8.5 | NCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
over 2under 8avg −8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
over 5under 5avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri80–60
- Lvs UConn56–61
- Wvs Tennessee81–76
- Wvs Syracuse71–60
- Wvs Notre Dame71–61
6 days since their last game.
NC State
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Liberty85–45
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–63
- L@ Auburn73–83
- Lvs Texas97–102
- Wvs Boise St81–70
3 days since their last game.