Broadview Arena · at Buffalo · Conference game
Closing line
BUF -5.5✓ EMU covered by 0.5
BUF -5.5✓ EMU covered by 0.5Closing total143.5Under by 4.5
 EMU | This season | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 9-19 | Record | 14-13 |
| 19-9 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 8-20 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 72–76 BUF · ✓ BUF (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 27 | 40 | 67 |
| BUF | 43 | 29 | 72 |
1st half: EMU 27, BUF 43 (BUF by 16). The model had BUF by 2.0 and a total of 69.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| EMU | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 31 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 38 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 7-17 | 0-1 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-6 |
| Addison Patterson F | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Braelon Green G | 27 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 23 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mehki Ellison G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Mak Manciel G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| John Shanu II C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mbaye N'Diaye G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Merritt Alderink, Jon Sanders II, Carlos Hart
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 40 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 38 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Ryan Sabol G | 38 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 9-16 | 5-9 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Tim Oboh F | 24 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ezra McKenna F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Kyle Jones G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Romano, Aleksa Vlajic, Matas Buteliauskas, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic, Daniel Freitag, Mikhali Pocknett
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUF -3.5
2 → BUF
CloseBUF -5.5
2 pts toward BUF
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
EMU +205 · BUF -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUF -3.5 · closed BUF -5.5 · moved 2 toward BUFmodel BUF -3.5
model BUF -3.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -5.5 | BUF -3.5 | EMU +2.0 | W EMU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 147.7 | Over 4.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | EMU 72.1 · BUF 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BUF -2.0 | BUF -16.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | EMU 33.6 · BUF 35.5 | EMU 27 · BUF 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| BUF | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
EMU 2–4 BUFBUF leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · EMU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | BUF 77 @ EMU 90 | EMU -5.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | EMU 69 @ BUF 78 | BUF -3.5 | BUF W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | BUF 65 @ EMU 75 | EMU -3.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | EMU 97 @ BUF 102 | BUF -10.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 17, 2021-22 | BUF 83 @ EMU 69 | EMU +10.5 | BUF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
28 games played
Straight up
9-19
32% wins
Against the spread
19-9
68% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-20
29% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ BGSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs KENT | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ CMU | L 65-100 | -2.5 | L −37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @MASS | L 67-70 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsAKR | L 64-66 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ APP | L 60-65 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @KENT | L 91-95 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 14 | vsWMU | L 62-76 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsCMU | W 66-54 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 21 | @ TOL | L 75-94 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | vs M-OH | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+10.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+5.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
+3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
−37.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
+5.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
+10.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
+2.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+6.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−20.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
+7.5
21
@TOL
TOLL 75-94
−10.5
24
vsM-OH
M-OHL 64-74
−1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−5.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+22.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
−3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
+25.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
−11.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
−23.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
−6.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+40.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−5.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
−20.5
21
@TOL
TOLL 75-94
+23.5
24
vsM-OH
M-OHL 64-74
−13.5
over 8under 20avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Buffalo
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USM | W 85-79 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | vs GB | W 83-76 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ DEP | W 66-53 | +18.5 | W +31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 18 | vs UVM | W 94-90 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs VMI | W 78-70 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUCK | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ CAN | W 71-53 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs SBU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ UMBC | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | @ ECU | L 70-73 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @WMU | W 88-71 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 31 | @NIU | W 81-67 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | vsBALL | W 85-72 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @OHIO | L 80-91 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | vsKENT | L 81-87 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @M-OH | L 102-105 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | vsAKR | L 63-82 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | vsMASS | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @BGSU | W 89-78 | +7.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsOHIO | L 83-95 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 3 | vsM-OH | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ USA | L 69-81 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | @BALL | W 63-53 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 17 | vsNIU | L 70-72 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @MASS | W 86-82 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @AKR | L 85-99 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 28 | vsCMU | L 70-75 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
+31.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
+2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
+8.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
−2.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+0.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−1.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+14.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
+7.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+6.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
−6.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
−3.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+7.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−10.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−2.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+18.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
−14.5
3
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-73
+2.5
7
@USA
USAL 69-81
−8.5
11
@BALL
BALLW 63-53
+11.5
17
vsNIU
NIUL 70-72
−11.5
21
@MASS
MASSW 86-82
+11.5
24
@AKR
AKRL 85-99
+1.5
28
vsCMU
CMUL 70-75
−10.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
−34.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+42.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
−2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
−15.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
+1.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+16.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−3.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+8.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+11.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
+14.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
+2.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+44.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−21.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−24.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+16.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
+21.5
3
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-73
−21.5
7
@USA
USAL 69-81
+4.5
11
@BALL
BALLW 63-53
−25.5
17
vsNIU
NIUL 70-72
−3.5
21
@MASS
MASSW 86-82
+16.5
24
@AKR
AKRL 85-99
+23.5
28
vsCMU
CMUL 70-75
−6.5
over 15under 12avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
9-19 overall · 4-12 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami OH64–74
- L@ Toledo75–94
- Wvs C Michigan66–54
- Lvs W Michigan62–76
- L@ Kent State91–95
A week or more of rest.
Buffalo
14-13 overall · 6-10 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs C Michigan70–75
- L@ Akron85–99
- W@ UMass86–82
- Lvs N Illinois70–72
- W@ Ball State63–53
3 days since their last game.