Gervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -8.5✓ M-OH covered by 1.5
M-OH -8.5✓ M-OH covered by 1.5Closing total151.5Under by 13.5
| M-OH | This season | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| 24-0 | Record | 9-18 |
| 17-7 | ATS | 19-8 |
| 17-7 | O/U | 8-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 81–74 EMU · ✓ M-OH (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 43 | 31 | 74 |
| EMU | 22 | 42 | 64 |
1st half: M-OH 43, EMU 22 (M-OH by 21). The model had M-OH by 4.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 65).
Team stats
| M-OH | EMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 21-61 34% |
| 5-28 18% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 46 11 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 37 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Peter Suder G | 36 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Brant Byers F | 32 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-18 | 2-9 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 30 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 20 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
| Trey Perry G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Justin Kirby G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Waltz, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Brady Ganley, Evan Ipsaro, Eli Yofan, Leshawn Stowers
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 38 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3-16 | 0-3 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 35 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 9-22 | 6-13 |
| Addison Patterson F | 34 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 29 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braelon Green G | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| John Shanu II C | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mak Manciel G | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mbaye N'Diaye G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Merritt Alderink, Carlos Hart, Cooper Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -8.5
ModelM-OH -6.9
Model edgeEMU +1.6
L M-OH covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
M-OH 80.8 · EMU 73.9
M-OH 74 · EMU 64
Win probability
M-OH 73%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -4.2
M-OH -21.0
Total
72.3
65 points
Projected score
M-OH 38.3 · EMU 34.1
M-OH 43 · EMU 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -8.5
no move
CloseM-OH -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -455 · EMU +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -8.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -7
model M-OH -7
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| EMU | 1-9 10% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
M-OH 5–3 EMUM-OH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · M-OH 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | EMU 75 vs M-OH 81 | M-OH -5.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | M-OH 66 @ EMU 76 | EMU +4.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | EMU 80 @ M-OH 89 | M-OH -8.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | M-OH 52 @ EMU 37 | EMU +5.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | EMU 54 @ M-OH 71 | M-OH -6.5 | M-OH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
24 games played
Straight up
24-0
100% wins
Against the spread
17-7
71% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-7
71% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vs MASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vs OHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | @MASS | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 20 | vsBGSU | W 91-77 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
+5.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+5.5
covered 17didn’t cover 7avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
−0.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+13.5
over 17under 7avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
19-8
70% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-19
30% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vsMASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vsOHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsNIU | W 77-59 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @BGSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsKENT | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @CMU | L 65-100 | -2.5 | L −37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @MASS | L 67-70 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsAKR | L 64-66 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ APP | L 60-65 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @KENT | L 91-95 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 186 |
| Feb 14 | vsWMU | L 62-76 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 17 | vsCMU | W 66-54 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 21 | @TOL | L 75-94 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+10.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+5.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
+3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
−37.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
+5.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
+10.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
+2.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+6.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−20.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
+7.5
21
@TOL
TOLL 75-94
−10.5
covered 19didn’t cover 8avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−5.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+22.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
−3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
+25.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
−11.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
−23.5
7
@APP
APPL 60-65
−6.5
11
@KENT
KENTL 91-95
+40.5
14
vsWMU
WMUL 62-76
−5.5
17
vsCMU
CMUW 66-54
−20.5
21
@TOL
TOLL 75-94
+23.5
over 8under 19avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
24-0 overall · 14-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bowling Green91–77
- W@ UMass86–77
- Wvs Ohio90–74
- W@ Marshall90–74
- W@ Buffalo73–71
4 days since their last game.
E Michigan
9-18 overall · 4-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Toledo75–94
- Wvs C Michigan66–54
- Lvs W Michigan62–76
- L@ Kent State91–95
- L@ App State60–65
3 days since their last game.