Millett Hall · at Miami OH · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -16.5✓ M-OH covered by 7.5
M-OH -16.5✓ M-OH covered by 7.5Closing total158.5Under by 12.5
 NIU | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 18-0 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 12-6 |
| 6-12 | O/U | 14-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 71–87 M-OH · ✓ M-OH (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 38 | 23 | 61 |
| M-OH | 40 | 45 | 85 |
1st half: NIU 38, M-OH 40 (M-OH by 2). The model had M-OH by 9.4 and a total of 74.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| NIU | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 31-64 48% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 7-28 25% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Cobb G | 33 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 32 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-14 | 2-11 |
| Taj Walters G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Hassan Washington F | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daemar Kelly G | 18 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Gustav Winther F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Washington G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Taylor, Max Laskey, Isaiah Stewart, Ladji Kante, Carlos Coronado, Jao Ituka, Lataevyon Taylor
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 36 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Eian Elmer G | 35 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Peter Suder G | 30 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 28 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Kirby G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Almar Atlason F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-6 |
| Trey Perry G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leshawn Stowers, Eli Yofan, Evan Ipsaro, Jackson Kotecki, Kyle Waltz, Tyler Robbins, Blake Anderson, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -16.5
ModelM-OH -16.1
Model edgeNIU +0.4
L M-OH covered
Total
Market158.5
Model158.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
W Under
Projected score
NIU 71.2 · M-OH 87.3
NIU 61 · M-OH 85
Win probability
M-OH 92%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -9.4
M-OH -2.0
Total
74.1
78 points
Projected score
NIU 32.3 · M-OH 41.8
NIU 38 · M-OH 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -16.5
no move
CloseM-OH -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 8
Close158.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +1000 · M-OH -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -16.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -16
model M-OH -16
Opened 150.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 8 upmodel 158.5 matches the line
model 158.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NIU 2–5 M-OHM-OH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 2 meetings · NIU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | NIU 58 @ M-OH 87 | M-OH -13.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | M-OH 84 @ NIU 69 | NIU +10.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | NIU 62 @ M-OH 59 | M-OH -5.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | M-OH 66 @ NIU 65 | NIU -4.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | NIU 81 @ M-OH 77 | M-OH -6.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @ EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs MASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @ BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vs WMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
over 6under 12avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
18 games played
Straight up
18-0
100% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-4
78% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsWMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsCMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vsBUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vsMASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
over 14under 4avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
5-13 overall · 3-6 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Michigan85–65
- L@ Ball State53–58
- L@ Ohio77–80
- Wvs UMass70–68
- L@ E Michigan59–77
4 days since their last game.
Miami OH
18-0 overall · 9-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass86–84
- W@ Kent State107–101
- Wvs Buffalo105–102
- Wvs C Michigan100–61
- W@ Toledo87–73
4 days since their last game.