Millett Hall · at Miami OH · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -9.5✓ MASS covered by 7.5
M-OH -9.5✓ MASS covered by 7.5Closing total164.5Over by 5.5
 MASS | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 17-0 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 12-5 |
| 12-8 | O/U | 13-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 79–87 M-OH · ✓ M-OH (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 47 | 37 | 84 |
| M-OH | 43 | 43 | 86 |
1st half: MASS 47, M-OH 43 (MASS by 4). The model had M-OH by 4.8 and a total of 77.9 (actual 90).
Team stats
| MASS | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-61 51% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 28-38 74% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 28 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 4-9 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 32 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 31 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 30 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donovan Brown, Dimitri Clerc, CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Rollie Castineyra, Josh Engel
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 39 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 9-14 | 6-11 |
| Peter Suder G | 38 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Justin Kirby G | 34 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Brant Byers F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 27 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Trey Perry G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kyle Waltz, Leshawn Stowers, Tyler Robbins, Luke Skaljac, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright, Eli Yofan, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Evan Ipsaro
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -9.5
ModelM-OH -8.2
Model edgeMASS +1.3
W MASS covered
Total
Market164.5
Model166.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
W Over
Projected score
MASS 79.2 · M-OH 87.4
MASS 84 · M-OH 86
Win probability
M-OH 76%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -4.8
MASS -4.0
Total
77.9
90 points
Projected score
MASS 36.6 · M-OH 41.3
MASS 47 · M-OH 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -10.5
1 → MASS
CloseM-OH -9.5
1 pt toward MASS
Total
Open164.5
no move
Close164.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MASS +390 · M-OH -520
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -10.5 · closed M-OH -9.5 · moved 1 toward MASSmodel M-OH -8
model M-OH -8
Opened 164.5 · unchangedmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vs TOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @ BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
over 12under 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
17 games played
Straight up
17-0
100% wins
Against the spread
12-5
71% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-4
76% overs · avg +10.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vsWMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vsBUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 5avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
over 13under 4avg +10.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
12-8 overall · 4-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo68–67
- Wvs Toledo84–82
- L@ N Illinois68–70
- W@ W Michigan85–82
- Wvs Ball State79–71
4 days since their last game.
Miami OH
17-0 overall · 8-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kent State107–101
- Wvs Buffalo105–102
- Wvs C Michigan100–61
- W@ Toledo87–73
- Wvs W Michigan87–76
A week or more of rest.