Mullins Center · at UMass · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -2.5✓ TOL covered by 0.5
MASS -2.5✓ TOL covered by 0.5Closing total164.5Over by 1.5
 TOL | This season | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 10-8 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 81–82 MASS · ✓ MASS (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| MASS | 35 | 49 | 84 |
1st half: TOL 34, MASS 35 (MASS by 1). The model had MASS by 0.7 and a total of 76.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| TOL | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-51 55% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 6-14 43% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 35 15 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 38 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 7-14 | 1-2 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 36 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 33 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Sean Craig F | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Austin Parks C | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mynor Strong G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will James Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: London Praytor, Toby Nwokolo, Phoenix Glassnor, Tyler Ode, Chris Riddle
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-9 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 33 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 8-18 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 30 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 30 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 29 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Donovan Brown, Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -1.5
1 → MASS
CloseMASS -2.5
1 pt toward MASS
Total
Open163.5
▲ 1
Close164.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOL +114 · MASS -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -1.5 · closed MASS -2.5 · moved 1 toward MASSmodel MASS -1.5
model MASS -1.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 1 upmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MASS -2.5 | MASS -1.4 | TOL +1.1 | W TOL covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 163.0 | Under 1.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | TOL 80.8 · MASS 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MASS -0.7 | MASS -1.0 |
| 1H total | 76.3 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | TOL 37.8 · MASS 38.5 | TOL 34 · MASS 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MASS | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs M-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs OHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ KENT | L 84-87 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
16
@KENT
KENTL 84-87
+2.5
over 7under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsMRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vsKENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
over 11under 7avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
8-8 overall · 4-2 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kent State84–87
- Wvs Ohio101–85
- Lvs Miami OH73–87
- W@ N Illinois75–61
- W@ C Michigan78–75
4 days since their last game.
UMass
10-8 overall · 2-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Illinois68–70
- W@ W Michigan85–82
- Wvs Ball State79–71
- L@ Ohio83–86
- Lvs Bowling Green100–101
3 days since their last game.