NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -8.5✓ NIU covered by 10.5
MASS -8.5✓ NIU covered by 10.5Closing total157.5Under by 19.5
| MASS | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 3-11 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 11-6 | O/U | 4-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 82–74 NIU · ✗ MASS (76%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 33 | 35 | 68 |
| NIU | 40 | 30 | 70 |
1st half: MASS 33, NIU 40 (NIU by 7). The model had MASS by 4.9 and a total of 72.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MASS | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-52 38% | Field goals | 21-58 36% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 7-29 24% |
| 21-30 70% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 41 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 13 |
| 8 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 29 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 23 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Brown G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rollie Castineyra, Dimitri Clerc, CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Josh Engel
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Walters G | 39 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 37 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 9-17 | 4-9 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 35 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1-10 | 0-5 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Gustav Winther F | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hassan Washington F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ladji Kante F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor, Max Laskey, Isaiah Stewart, Jao Ituka, Isaiah Washington, Jaylen Wharton
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -8.5
ModelMASS -8.0
Model edgeNIU +0.5
W NIU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model155.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
W Under
Projected score
MASS 81.7 · NIU 73.7
MASS 68 · NIU 70
Win probability
MASS 76%
1st half
Spread
MASS -4.9
NIU -7.0
Total
72.8
73 points
Projected score
MASS 38.8 · NIU 34
MASS 33 · NIU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -8.5
no move
CloseMASS -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MASS -395 · NIU +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -8.5 · unchangedmodel MASS -8
model MASS -8
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| NIU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-6
65% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
over 11under 6avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-10
29% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
over 4under 10avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
10-7 overall · 2-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Michigan85–82
- Wvs Ball State79–71
- L@ Ohio83–86
- Lvs Bowling Green100–101
- L@ E Michigan74–80
4 days since their last game.
N Illinois
3-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Michigan59–77
- Lvs Toledo61–75
- L@ Kent State73–77
- Lvs Buffalo67–81
- Wvs C Michigan74–73
4 days since their last game.