Lawler Arena · at Merrimack · Conference game
Closing line
MRMK -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 6.5
MRMK -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 6.5Closing total141.5Under by 1.5
 MSM | This season | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | Record | 7-7 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 66–72 MRMK · ✓ MRMK (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| MRMK | 29 | 46 | 75 |
1st half: MSM 27, MRMK 29 (MRMK by 2). The model had MRMK by 3.2 and a total of 64.7 (actual 56).
Team stats
| MSM | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 19-46 41% |
| 2-18 11% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 19-28 68% | Free throws | 31-40 78% |
| 41 16 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 30 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Luke McEldon F | 25 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Justin Amadi F | 20 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Deveaux F | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Patrick Haigh, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Shelton G | 40 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-1 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Todd Brogna F | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: David Munro, Quinn Kwasniak, Jacob Moore, Malik Edmead, Aliou Cisse, Brandon Legris, Brendan Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRMK -3.5
ModelMRMK -5.5
Model edgeMRMK +2.0
W MRMK covered
Total
Market141.5
Model138.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
MSM 66.3 · MRMK 71.8
MSM 65 · MRMK 75
Win probability
MRMK 69%
1st half
Spread
MRMK -3.2
MRMK -2.0
Total
64.7
56 points
Projected score
MSM 30.8 · MRMK 33.9
MSM 27 · MRMK 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -4.5
1 → MSM
CloseMRMK -3.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open136.5
▲ 5
Close141.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MSM +154 · MRMK -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -4.5 · closed MRMK -3.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel MRMK -5.5
model MRMK -5.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| MRMK | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSM 4–0 MRMKMSM leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 4 meetings · MSM 4-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MSM 57 vs MRMK 55 | MRMK -8.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | MSM 66 @ MRMK 58 | MRMK -8.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 3, 2021-22 | MRMK 53 @ MSM 69 | MSM -6 | MSM W |
| Jan 17, 2021-22 | MSM 57 @ MRMK 50 | MRMK -3 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs IONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
over 6under 7avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Merrimack
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
over 5under 9avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
4-9 overall · 1-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iona66–59
- L@ Drexel67–75
- W@ Loyola MD81–73
- L@ Marist56–64
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–87
4 days since their last game.
Merrimack
7-7 overall · 3-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Sacred Heart80–72
- L@ Vermont59–66
- W@ Princeton59–56
- Wvs Fairfield74–63
- Wvs Rider68–66
4 days since their last game.