Pizzitola Sports Center · at Brown · Conference game
Closing line
HARV -1.5✓ HARV covered by 8.5
HARV -1.5✓ HARV covered by 8.5Closing total132.5Under by 4.5
| HARV | This season | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| 9-9 | Record | 5-11 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HARV 68–66 BRWN · ✓ HARV (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 34 | 35 | 69 |
| BRWN | 28 | 31 | 59 |
1st half: HARV 34, BRWN 28 (HARV by 6). The model had HARV by 1.2 and a total of 62.9 (actual 62).
Team stats
| HARV | BRWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-35 51% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 27-29 93% | Free throws | 9-17 53% |
| 26 2 off | Rebounds | 27 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hinton G | 37 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Tey Barbour G | 37 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 31 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankie Mannino G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kenan Parrish F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Quartey, Avner Dror, Alex Touomou, Dutch Dowdell, Austin Hunt, Payton Pitts, Greg Cooper
| BRWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Lewis F | 35 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 12-16 | 0-1 |
| Jeremiah Jenkins G | 28 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| David Rochester G | 27 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Langham G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| N'famara Dabo F | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Uchidiuno G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-13 | 1-10 |
| Luke Paragon G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson G | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Charlie O'Sullivan, Brady Loughlin, Jonah Drezner, Jerrell Barron Jr., Wyatt DeGraaf, AJ Lesburt Jr., Drew Kania
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHARV -1.5
ModelHARV -1.7
Model edgeHARV +0.2
W HARV covered
Total
Market132.5
Model134.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
HARV 67.9 · BRWN 66.2
HARV 69 · BRWN 59
Win probability
HARV 56%
1st half
Spread
HARV -1.2
HARV -6.0
Total
62.9
62 points
Projected score
HARV 32 · BRWN 30.9
HARV 34 · BRWN 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -2.5
1 → BRWN
CloseHARV -1.5
1 pt toward BRWN
Total
Open132.5
no move
Close132.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
HARV -125 · BRWN +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -2.5 · closed HARV -1.5 · moved 1 toward BRWNmodel HARV -1.5 matches the line
model HARV -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 132.5 · unchangedmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| BRWN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HARV 3–5 BRWNBRWN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · HARV 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | BRWN 59 @ HARV 52 | HARV +1.5 | BRWN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | HARV 80 @ BRWN 67 | BRWN -4.5 | HARV W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | HARV 68 @ BRWN 71 | BRWN -2.5 | BRWN W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | BRWN 74 @ HARV 72 | HARV -2.5 | BRWN W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | BRWN 68 @ HARV 65 | HARV -4.5 | BRWN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Harvard
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vs DART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vs PRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 19 | vs PENN | W 64-63 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs COR | L 79-86 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−4.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
−8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−23.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
+4.5
over 8under 10avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Brown
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIE | L 46-62 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 9 | vs UVM | L 84-89 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | @BU | L 77-90 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 14 | vs HAMP | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 18 | vsHC | W 68-49 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 20 | @ STBK | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ ME | W 58-53 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | @UNH | W 59-47 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Dec 2 | @ URI | L 56-66 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 5 | vsBRY | W 75-56 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 9 | @ PROV | L 79-86 | +19.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 5 | vs YALE | L 53-70 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PENN | L 73-81 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOLU | W 86-80 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOR | L 67-89 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | @PRIN | L 53-63 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−12.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+0.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
−9.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−10.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
+16.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
−6.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
+3.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
+6.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
+3.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+12.5
9
@PROV
PROVL 79-86
+12.5
5
vsYALE
YALEL 53-70
−8.5
10
@PENN
PENNL 73-81
−2.5
17
vsCOLU
COLUW 86-80
+8.5
19
vsCOR
CORL 67-89
−19.5
24
@PRIN
PRINL 53-63
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−34.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+41.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
+37.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−4.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
−24.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
+13.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
−16.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
−30.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
−16.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+0.5
9
@PROV
PROVL 79-86
+19.5
5
vsYALE
YALEL 53-70
−19.5
10
@PENN
PENNL 73-81
+8.5
17
vsCOLU
COLUW 86-80
+22.5
19
vsCOR
CORL 67-89
−7.5
24
@PRIN
PRINL 53-63
−18.5
over 7under 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Harvard
9-9 overall · 3-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cornell79–86
- Wvs Penn64–63
- Wvs Princeton87–80
- W@ Columbia79–54
- Lvs Dartmouth68–76
6 days since their last game.
Brown
5-11 overall · 1-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Princeton53–63
- Lvs Cornell67–89
- Wvs Columbia86–80
- L@ Penn73–81
- Lvs Yale53–70
6 days since their last game.