Leede Arena · at Dartmouth · Conference game
Closing line
DART -2.5✓ PENN covered by 12.5
DART -2.5✓ PENN covered by 12.5Closing total163.5Under by 5.5
 PENN | This season | DART |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 6-7 |
| 9-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 78–80 DART · ✗ DART (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| DART | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: PENN 38, DART 38 (tied). The model had DART by 1.3 and a total of 73.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| PENN | DART | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 23-61 38% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 19-31 61% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 9 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts G | 38 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 8-22 | 4-9 |
| AJ Levine G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 28 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| TJ Power F | 27 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 10-17 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Thrower G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jay Jones G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Payton Kamin, Ryan Altman, Michelangelo Oberti, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Chris Ubochi, Johnnie Walter
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Amundsen G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 29 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3-13 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Williams F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 23 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Jackson Munro F | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Hiatt G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Nikola Abusara G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Brown G | 16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Cameron McNamee G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khai Lockwood, Tyler Garrett, Shanon Simango, Patrick Tivnan Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDART -2.5
ModelDART -2.4
Model edgePENN +0.1
W PENN covered
Total
Market163.5
Model157.4
Model edgeUnder 6.1
W Under
Projected score
PENN 77.5 · DART 79.9
PENN 84 · DART 74
Win probability
DART 58%
1st half
Spread
DART -1.3
tied
Total
73.7
76 points
Projected score
PENN 36.2 · DART 37.5
PENN 38 · DART 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDART -1.5
1 → DART
CloseDART -2.5
1 pt toward DART
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +114 · DART -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DART -1.5 · closed DART -2.5 · moved 1 toward DARTmodel DART -2.5 matches the line
model DART -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| DART | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PENN 5–3 DARTPENN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · PENN 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | DART 75 @ PENN 88 | PENN -1.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | PENN 70 @ DART 73 | DART -4.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | PENN 82 @ DART 69 | DART +5.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | DART 51 @ PENN 80 | PENN -6.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | DART 79 @ PENN 89 | PENN -10.5 | DART W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @ PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
over 6under 8avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dartmouth
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @ HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
over 7under 6avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
7-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown81–73
- L@ Princeton76–78
- Wvs NJIT80–61
- L@ George Mason79–83
- L@ Rutgers69–70
A week or more of rest.
Dartmouth
6-7 overall · 2-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cornell102–91
- W@ Harvard76–68
- L@ Florida72–94
- L@ Sacred Heart63–85
- W@ Holy Cross89–64
A week or more of rest.