Mercyhurst Athletic Center · at Mercyhurst · Conference game
Closing line
MERC -6.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5
MERC -6.5✓ MERC covered by 2.5Closing total137.5Over by 49.5
 SFPA | This season | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| 4-15 | Record | 9-12 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 13-7 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFPA 64–74 MERC · ✓ MERC (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 37 | 42 | 10 | 89 |
| MERC | 45 | 34 | 19 | 98 |
1st half: SFPA 37, MERC 45 (MERC by 8). The model had MERC by 5.5 and a total of 64.6 (actual 82).
Team stats
| SFPA | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-65 49% | Field goals | 33-68 49% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 24-30 80% |
| 32 12 off | Rebounds | 45 19 off |
| 18 | Assists | 25 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 26 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Moncrief G | 41 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 36 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 7-19 | 2-7 |
| Ahmad Harrison G | 33 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Russell G | 28 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-5 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Russell G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trey Weiand G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ralph Martino Jr., Ryen Gresko, Carson Rhodes, Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish, KJ Swain Jr.
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 39 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 10-11 | 0-0 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 30 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 6-16 | 3-9 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Christian Gamble G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 33 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Sean Lang G | 28 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Or Faran G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| James Thomas F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Emilis Butkus, Vladimir Pavlovic, Brady Conner, Cameron Johnson, Chris Leman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMERC -6.5
ModelMERC -9.4
Model edgeMERC +2.9
W MERC covered
Total
Market137.5
Model138.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
SFPA 64.3 · MERC 73.7
SFPA 89 · MERC 98
Win probability
MERC 80%
1st half
Spread
MERC -5.5
MERC -8.0
Total
64.6
82 points
Projected score
SFPA 29.6 · MERC 35.1
SFPA 37 · MERC 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMERC -8.5
2 → SFPA
CloseMERC -6.5
2 pts toward SFPA
Total
Open135.5
▲ 2
Close137.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SFPA +275 · MERC -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MERC -8.5 · closed MERC -6.5 · moved 2 toward SFPAmodel MERC -9.5
model MERC -9.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| MERC | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFPA 1–1 MERCSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · SFPA 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | SFPA 58 @ MERC 62 | MERC +1.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | MERC 59 @ SFPA 73 | SFPA -3.5 | SFPA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Francis Red Wolves
19 games played
Straight up
4-15
21% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vs LEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vs FDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ WAG | W 71-69 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIU | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vs CCSU | L 90-98 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | vs STO | W 63-61 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs CHST | W 81-60 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vs NHVN | L 69-81 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
+9.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
+11.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
−1.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
+0.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
+17.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
−13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
−4.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
−18.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
+43.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
−17.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
−2.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
+18.5
over 9under 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercyhurst
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vsFDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsLEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vsCCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @NHVN | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vsCHST | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsNHVN | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @CHST | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
+2.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−7.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
+13.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
−4.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−11.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
−1.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
+22.5
over 8under 12avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
4-15 overall · 4-4 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs New Haven69–81
- Wvs Chicago St81–60
- Wvs Stonehill63–61
- Lvs C Connecticut90–98
- L@ Long Island63–67
5 days since their last game.
Mercyhurst
9-12 overall · 6-4 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Chicago St74–78
- Wvs New Haven70–51
- Wvs Chicago St61–59
- W@ New Haven61–57
- Wvs C Connecticut79–61
5 days since their last game.