Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · at NJIT · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -4.5✓ UMBC covered by 34.5
UMBC -4.5✓ UMBC covered by 34.5Closing total143.5Under by 0.5
| UMBC | This season | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| 18-8 | Record | 14-15 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 11-15 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 74–69 NJIT · ✓ UMBC (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 46 | 45 | 91 |
| NJIT | 24 | 28 | 52 |
1st half: UMBC 46, NJIT 24 (UMBC by 22). The model had UMBC by 2.8 and a total of 67.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UMBC | NJIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-65 51% | Field goals | 18-56 32% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 4-26 15% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 46 16 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 7 |
| 13 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 27 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 23 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cougar Downing G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Caden Diggs F | 16 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 16 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Paul Greene F | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jake Stout F | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Saahil Thakkar G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| NJIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bolden G | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Melvyn Ebonkoli F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Robinson G | 22 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Ari Fulton G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Rogers F | 20 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Kelly F | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Quentin Duncan G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Rocco Awad G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Piggee G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeffrey Akintolu F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Malachi Arrington F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zack Scherler F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremy Clayville, AJ Altobelli, Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -4.5
ModelUMBC -4.4
Model edgeNJIT +0.1
L UMBC covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
W Under
Projected score
UMBC 73.7 · NJIT 69.3
UMBC 91 · NJIT 52
Win probability
UMBC 65%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -2.8
UMBC -22.0
Total
67.0
70 points
Projected score
UMBC 34.9 · NJIT 32.1
UMBC 46 · NJIT 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -4.5
no move
CloseUMBC -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -205 · NJIT +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -4.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -4.5 matches the line
model UMBC -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| NJIT | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UMBC 7–2 NJITUMBC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UMBC has won the last 4 meetings · UMBC 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | NJIT 74 @ UMBC 87 | UMBC -6.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | NJIT 91 @ UMBC 95 | UMBC -7.5 | NJIT W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UMBC 87 @ NJIT 64 | NJIT +8.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UMBC 79 @ NJIT 60 | NJIT +2.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NJIT 75 @ UMBC 74 | UMBC -5.5 | NJIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
over 11under 15avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NJIT
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FOR | W 72-61 | +14.5 | W +25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs FAIR | L 53-74 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | @ L-MD | W 66-64 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs FDU | W 93-81 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ DREX | L 43-75 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 22 | @ NAVY | L 70-86 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ CIN | L 67-94 | +34.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | @ LOU | L 47-104 | +44.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 28 | @ EMU | L 55-73 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 5 | @ HPU | L 72-89 | +28.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 10 | vs NHVN | W 70-64 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs SHU | L 49-65 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ BTLR | L 52-101 | +32.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 31 | @ PENN | L 61-80 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @BING | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vsUNH | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vsME | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | @UML | W 73-64 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 19 | vsBRY | W 79-55 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 22 | @UMBC | L 74-87 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | @UALB | W 77-68 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | @UVM | W 79-77 | +13.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | vsUML | W 81-56 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vsBING | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 12 | @UNH | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | @ME | W 67-58 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 19 | vsUALB | L 63-81 | -3.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vsUVM | L 64-70 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | @BRY | L 52-69 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FOR
FORW 72-61
+25.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRL 53-74
−14.5
11
@L-MD
L-MDW 66-64
+12.5
15
vsFDU
FDUW 93-81
+9.5
18
@DREX
DREXL 43-75
−18.5
22
@NAVY
NAVYL 70-86
+1.5
24
@CIN
CINL 67-94
+7.5
26
@LOU
LOUL 47-104
−12.5
28
@EMU
EMUL 55-73
−3.5
5
@HPU
HPUL 72-89
+11.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-64
+8.5
13
vsSHU
SHUL 49-65
−9.5
22
@BTLR
BTLRL 52-101
−16.5
31
@PENN
PENNL 61-80
−4.5
3
@BING
BINGW 73-65
+11.5
8
vsUNH
UNHW 80-76
+6.5
10
vsME
MEL 70-74
−5.5
15
@UML
UMLW 73-64
+17.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 79-55
+22.5
22
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-87
−6.5
29
@UALB
UALBW 77-68
+14.5
31
@UVM
UVMW 79-77
+15.5
5
vsUML
UMLW 81-56
+23.5
7
vsBING
BINGW 73-64
+0.5
12
@UNH
UNHW 76-70
+8.5
14
@ME
MEW 67-58
+7.5
19
vsUALB
UALBL 63-81
−21.5
21
vsUVM
UVML 64-70
+0.5
28
@BRY
BRYL 52-69
−18.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FOR
FORW 72-61
−14.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRL 53-74
−18.5
11
@L-MD
L-MDW 66-64
−9.5
15
vsFDU
FDUW 93-81
+27.5
18
@DREX
DREXL 43-75
−20.5
22
@NAVY
NAVYL 70-86
+15.5
24
@CIN
CINL 67-94
+19.5
26
@LOU
LOUL 47-104
−7.5
28
@EMU
EMUL 55-73
−13.5
5
@HPU
HPUL 72-89
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-64
+3.5
13
vsSHU
SHUL 49-65
−37.5
22
@BTLR
BTLRL 52-101
+3.5
31
@PENN
PENNL 61-80
−10.5
3
@BING
BINGW 73-65
−2.5
8
vsUNH
UNHW 80-76
+18.5
10
vsME
MEL 70-74
+13.5
15
@UML
UMLW 73-64
−8.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 79-55
+1.5
22
@UMBC
UMBCL 74-87
+17.5
29
@UALB
UALBW 77-68
+5.5
31
@UVM
UVMW 79-77
+16.5
5
vsUML
UMLW 81-56
−12.5
7
vsBING
BINGW 73-64
−3.5
12
@UNH
UNHW 76-70
+0.5
14
@ME
MEW 67-58
−12.5
19
vsUALB
UALBL 63-81
+1.5
21
vsUVM
UVML 64-70
−8.5
28
@BRY
BRYL 52-69
−17.5
over 14under 15avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
18-8 overall · 13-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
- Wvs Bryant70–58
- Wvs UAlbany66–62
- Wvs Vermont75–62
- W@ New Hampshire85–63
3 days since their last game.
NJIT
14-15 overall · 10-5 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bryant52–69
- Lvs Vermont64–70
- Lvs UAlbany63–81
- W@ Maine67–58
- W@ New Hampshire76–70
3 days since their last game.