Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium · at Maine · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -3.5✓ UMBC covered by 12.5
UMBC -3.5✓ UMBC covered by 12.5Closing total135.5Over by 4.5
| UMBC | This season | ME |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 5-19 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 69–66 ME · ✓ UMBC (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| ME | 24 | 38 | 62 |
1st half: UMBC 37, ME 24 (UMBC by 13). The model had UMBC by 2.2 and a total of 63.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UMBC | ME | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 19-51 37% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 43 11 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 32 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 28 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 16 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Paul Greene F | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Stout F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Saahil Thakkar G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daylon Dickerson, Devin Ceaser, Regimantas Ciunys
| ME | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Carey G | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| TJ Biel F | 31 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 8-14 | 5-8 |
| Mekhi Gray G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1-10 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Mabrey G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ace Flagg F | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amare Allen G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Crawford G | 21 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Bamba F | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bashir N'Galang G | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Emmitt Byther F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Bonilla G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Shea, Joshua Ojuri, Darius Lopes, Keelan Steele, Killian Gribben
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -3.5
ModelUMBC -3.4
Model edgeME +0.1
L UMBC covered
Total
Market135.5
Model134.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
UMBC 69 · ME 65.5
UMBC 78 · ME 62
Win probability
UMBC 62%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -2.2
UMBC -13.0
Total
63.0
61 points
Projected score
UMBC 32.6 · ME 30.4
UMBC 37 · ME 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -3.5
no move
CloseUMBC -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open133.5
▲ 2
Close135.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -185 · ME +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -3.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -3.5 matches the line
model UMBC -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 133.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 upmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ME | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UMBC 5–4 MEUMBC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | ME 62 @ UMBC 69 | UMBC -7.5 | ME W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UMBC 50 @ ME 73 | ME -6.5 | ME W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ME 87 @ UMBC 62 | UMBC -2.5 | ME W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UMBC 56 @ ME 62 | ME -4.5 | ME W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | ME 65 @ UMBC 70 | UMBC +2.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vsME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
over 9under 11avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maine
24 games played
Straight up
5-19
21% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @GW | L 47-67 | +20.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | @ STBK | L 60-71 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 10 | @ RUTG | L 60-72 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs QUIN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ MRMK | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRWN | L 53-58 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 28 | @ AMER | L 61-74 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs LONG | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | vs SIE | L 60-64 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 3 | @ OHIO | L 57-79 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ M-OH | L 61-93 | +17.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ BU | W 69-59 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CAN | L 43-70 | -6.5 | L −33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 21 | @ DREX | L 56-74 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 3 | vsBRY | L 51-56 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
| Jan 8 | @UMBC | L 62-69 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | @NJIT | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | @UVM | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | vsUNH | L 48-65 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 22 | vsUALB | W 52-49 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 24 | vsBING | W 79-63 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 124.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @UML | L 77-91 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 5 | vsUVM | W 76-70 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 130.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | @BRY | L 67-73 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 128.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
+0.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−7.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+6.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−2.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
−0.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−3.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
−5.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
+5.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−9.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
−14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
+18.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−33.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
−7.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−3.5
8
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-69
+0.5
10
@NJIT
NJITW 74-70
+5.5
15
@UVM
UVML 62-67
+9.5
19
vsUNH
UNHL 48-65
−18.5
22
vsUALB
UALBW 52-49
+5.5
24
vsBING
BINGW 79-63
+10.5
31
@UML
UMLL 77-91
−9.5
5
vsUVM
UVMW 76-70
+14.5
7
@BRY
BRYL 67-73
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
−29.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−0.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+1.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−3.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
+6.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−16.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
+1.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
−12.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
−3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
+14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
−0.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−14.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
+0.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−18.5
8
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-69
−2.5
10
@NJIT
NJITW 74-70
+13.5
15
@UVM
UVML 62-67
−1.5
19
vsUNH
UNHL 48-65
−16.5
22
vsUALB
UALBW 52-49
−30.5
24
vsBING
BINGW 79-63
+17.5
31
@UML
UMLL 77-91
+31.5
5
vsUVM
UVMW 76-70
+15.5
7
@BRY
BRYL 67-73
+11.5
over 10under 14avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
12-8 overall · 7-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Binghamton79–62
- W@ UAlbany68–65
- L@ Vermont55–64
- Wvs UMass Lowell79–56
- Wvs NJIT87–74
A week or more of rest.
Maine
5-19 overall · 4-6 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bryant67–73
- Wvs Vermont76–70
- L@ UMass Lowell77–91
- Wvs Binghamton79–63
- Wvs UAlbany52–49
5 days since their last game.