Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -6.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5
UMBC -6.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Over by 5.5
 UNH | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 6-6 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 68–77 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| UMBC | 30 | 45 | 75 |
1st half: UNH 39, UMBC 30 (UNH by 9). The model had UMBC by 4.8 and a total of 68.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UNH | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-59 53% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 5-11 45% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 23 3 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham G | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Davide Poser F | 30 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 29 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| John Squire F | 28 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| R.J. Kennedy G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Bike G | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jon O'Neill F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Saunders, Nick Sanford, Myles Blackley, Antoni Siewruk
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Cougar Downing G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Greene, Saahil Thakkar, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -6.5
no move
CloseUMBC -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +245 · UMBC -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -6.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -8.5
model UMBC -8.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -6.5 | UMBC -8.3 | UMBC +1.8 | L UNH covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 145.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNH 68.4 · UMBC 76.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -4.8 | UNH -9.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | UNH 31.6 · UMBC 36.4 | UNH 39 · UMBC 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UMBC | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UNH 5–3 UMBCUNH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNH has won the last 2 meetings · UNH 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | UMBC 78 @ UNH 79 | UNH +8.5 | UNH W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UNH 79 @ UMBC 76 | UMBC -13.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UMBC 86 @ UNH 68 | UNH -6.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UNH 64 @ UMBC 58 | UMBC +3.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | UMBC 66 @ UNH 75 | UNH +2.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLEM | L 38-88 | +29.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 9 | @ HARV | L 75-86 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | @ GMU | L 44-61 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | @ PROV | L 66-98 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRWN | L 47-59 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAIR | L 68-72 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 3 | @ DART | L 68-69 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs BU | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | vs STO | W 59-58 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 21 | @ SLU | L 79-93 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | @ NEB | L 55-86 | +31.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVM | L 61-80 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ NJIT | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
+5.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
+7.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+11.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−2.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+20.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
+0.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
−11.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
−7.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
−10.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+35.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−21.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+14.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
−5.5
3
vsUVM
UVML 61-80
+1.5
8
@NJIT
NJITL 76-80
+18.5
over 6under 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
over 5under 7avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
2-11 overall · 0-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NJIT76–80
- Lvs Vermont61–80
- L@ Nebraska55–86
- L@ Saint Louis79–93
- Wvs Stonehill59–58
2 days since their last game.
UMBC
6-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine69–62
- W@ Coppin St93–59
- L@ South Florida69–94
- Lvs Army60–63
- Lvs Buffalo79–83
2 days since their last game.