Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 1.5
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 1.5Closing total151.5Under by 18.5
 FUR | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 13-9 | Record | 12-10 |
| 9-13 | ATS | 16-6 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FUR 75–78 MER · ✓ MER (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FUR | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| MER | 29 | 40 | 69 |
1st half: FUR 31, MER 29 (FUR by 2). The model had MER by 2.0 and a total of 71.7 (actual 60).
Team stats
| FUR | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 23-64 36% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 44 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| FUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asa Thomas G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-9 |
| Cooper Bowser F | 32 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Alex Wilkins G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Charles Johnston F | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Ben Vander Wal F | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tom House G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Cole Bowser G | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Eddrin Bronson G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Collin O'Neal G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Abijah Franklin, Gunnar Lewis, Owen Ritger, Mason Smith, Thomas Tillman, Davis Molnar
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 38 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 6-16 | 1-2 |
| Zaire Williams G | 37 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-10 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 36 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Armani Mighty C | 34 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 28 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre, Tristan Gross
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMER -3.5
ModelMER -3.7
Model edgeMER +0.2
W MER covered
Total
Market151.5
Model153.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
FUR 74.8 · MER 78.4
FUR 64 · MER 69
Win probability
MER 63%
1st half
Spread
MER -2.0
FUR -2.0
Total
71.7
60 points
Projected score
FUR 34.8 · MER 36.9
FUR 31 · MER 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -3.5
no move
CloseMER -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
FUR +142 · MER -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -3.5 · unchangedmodel MER -3.5 matches the line
model MER -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FUR | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MER | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
FUR 9–2 MERFUR leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · FUR has won the last 3 meetings · FUR 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | MER 72 @ FUR 74 | FUR -2.5 | MER W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | MER 72 @ FUR 96 | FUR -6.5 | FUR W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | FUR 79 @ MER 74 | MER +2.5 | FUR W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MER 82 @ FUR 75 | FUR -9.5 | MER W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | FUR 69 @ MER 78 | MER +4.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Furman
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HPU | L 71-97 | +3.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TROY | L 61-64 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNI | L 54-70 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUC | W 90-79 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs RICH | W 73-72 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILST | L 65-72 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ ELON | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs HARV | W 79-69 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 18 | @ MAN | W 75-68 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs CHSO | W 84-76 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 31 | vsMER | W 74-72 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | vs WCU | L 77-80 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ UTC | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs VMI | W 69-48 | -12.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | @ SAM | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vs WOF | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ CIT | L 75-77 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ UNCG | W 89-66 | -4.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 29 | vsSAM | W 78-73 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | vsUTC | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 4 | @ ETSU | L 71-75 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 8 | vsUNCG | L 64-67 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
−22.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−5.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−6.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+2.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
+4.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−3.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+7.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+5.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−3.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
−2.5
31
vsMER
MERW 74-72
−0.5
3
vsWCU
WCUL 77-80
−11.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-67
+8.5
10
vsVMI
VMIW 69-48
+8.5
14
@SAM
SAMW 77-73
+2.5
17
vsWOF
WOFL 70-74
−8.5
21
@CIT
CITL 75-77
−13.5
23
@UNCG
UNCGW 89-66
+18.5
29
vsSAM
SAMW 78-73
−0.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 75-70
−2.5
4
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-75
+1.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGL 64-67
−13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
+14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−27.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−17.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+15.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
−2.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+31.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+6.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−11.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
+4.5
31
vsMER
MERW 74-72
−8.5
3
vsWCU
WCUL 77-80
−0.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-67
−1.5
10
vsVMI
VMIW 69-48
−32.5
14
@SAM
SAMW 77-73
+0.5
17
vsWOF
WOFL 70-74
−5.5
21
@CIT
CITL 75-77
+9.5
23
@UNCG
UNCGW 89-66
+4.5
29
vsSAM
SAMW 78-73
+1.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 75-70
−1.5
4
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-75
+4.5
8
vsUNCG
UNCGL 64-67
−18.5
over 10under 12avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
16-6
73% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vsWCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
covered 16didn’t cover 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
over 11under 11avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Furman
13-9 overall · 7-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Greensboro64–67
- L@ ETSU71–75
- Wvs Chattanooga75–70
- Wvs Samford78–73
- W@ UNC Greensboro89–66
3 days since their last game.
Mercer
12-10 overall · 7-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Samford49–69
- L@ Chattanooga75–79
- Wvs VMI95–81
- Wvs UNC Greensboro95–77
- L@ Wofford77–80
4 days since their last game.