McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -9.5✓ CIT covered by 16.5
UTC -9.5✓ CIT covered by 16.5Closing total142.5Over by 6.5
 CIT | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 5-16 | Record | 7-14 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 10-11 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 67–76 UTC · ✗ UTC (78%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| UTC | 32 | 39 | 71 |
1st half: CIT 37, UTC 32 (CIT by 5). The model had UTC by 5.2 and a total of 67.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| CIT | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi F | 37 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-2 |
| Braxton Williams F | 37 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-10 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Eze Wali G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Simeon German F | 15 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Applegate G | 21 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Keynan Davis G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dante Kearse G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Logan Menefee, Cassius Bonjasky, Chase Williams, Gabe Hernandez, Jameson Heck, Christian Moore, Rowan Irelan, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Watkins G | 33 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Tate Darner G | 30 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Houston Holland G | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Makai Richards C | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Frison G | 29 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 10-17 | 2-5 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Parker Robison G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Billy Smith G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Josh Bowman F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Latif Diouf, Sebastian Hartmann, Sean Cusano, Zach Bleshoy, Ryan Lopez, Liam Vitters
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -9.5
ModelUTC -8.9
Model edgeCIT +0.6
W CIT covered
Total
Market142.5
Model143.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
CIT 67.4 · UTC 76.3
CIT 78 · UTC 71
Win probability
UTC 78%
1st half
Spread
UTC -5.2
CIT -5.0
Total
67.3
69 points
Projected score
CIT 31.1 · UTC 36.3
CIT 37 · UTC 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -9.5
no move
CloseUTC -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
▲ 4
Close142.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CIT +380 · UTC -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -9.5 · unchangedmodel UTC -9
model UTC -9
Opened 138.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 4 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| UTC | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CIT 2–7 UTCUTC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 2 meetings · CIT 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CIT 75 @ UTC 76 | UTC -17.5 | CIT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UTC 81 @ CIT 68 | CIT +12.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UTC 62 @ CIT 71 | CIT +6.5 | CIT W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CIT 62 @ UTC 90 | UTC -10.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | CIT 63 @ UTC 82 | UTC -9.5 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
21 games played
Straight up
5-16
24% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vs ETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @ VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs FUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsVMI | W 80-56 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCG | W 71-66 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @ SAM | L 64-78 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
+21.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
+7.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
−6.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
−10.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−4.5
over 9under 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vsFUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsSAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vsETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @SAM | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWOF | L 55-81 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 1 | @FUR | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsMER | W 79-75 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−27.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
+2.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−13.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−14.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
−1.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
−1.5
over 9under 12avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
5-16 overall · 5-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Samford64–78
- Wvs UNC Greensboro71–66
- Wvs VMI80–56
- L@ ETSU55–84
- Wvs Furman77–75
2 days since their last game.
Chattanooga
7-14 overall · 4-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercer79–75
- L@ Furman70–75
- Lvs Wofford55–81
- L@ Samford64–75
- Lvs ETSU66–67
2 days since their last game.