Cameron Hall · at VMI · Conference game
Closing line
VMI -6.5✓ CIT covered by 20.5
VMI -6.5✓ CIT covered by 20.5Closing total143.5Over by 6.5
 CIT | This season | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| 1-14 | Record | 3-12 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 70–76 VMI · ✗ VMI (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 47 | 35 | 82 |
| VMI | 34 | 34 | 68 |
1st half: CIT 47, VMI 34 (CIT by 13). The model had VMI by 3.0 and a total of 68.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| CIT | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-50 46% | Field goals | 21-49 43% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 27-32 84% | Free throws | 18-28 64% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 27 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi F | 38 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Braxton Williams F | 33 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 3-6 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Eze Wali G | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Simeon German F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcos Gonzales G | 28 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Christian Moore F | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Keynan Davis G | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dante Kearse G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Logan Applegate G | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Gabe Hernandez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rowan Irelan, Logan Menefee, Cassius Bonjasky, Chase Williams, Aidan Alexander, Jameson Heck, Jack Walter
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 38 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 36 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| AJ Clark G | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Cal Liston F | 26 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Pazon G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Walker Andrews G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mason Lawson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rickey Bradley Jr., Branford Edmonds III, Alexander Daushvili, Robert Peters, Mason Hagedorn, Kaden Stuckey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVMI -6.5
ModelVMI -5.2
Model edgeCIT +1.3
W CIT covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
CIT 70.3 · VMI 75.5
CIT 82 · VMI 68
Win probability
VMI 67%
1st half
Spread
VMI -3.0
CIT -13.0
Total
68.3
81 points
Projected score
CIT 32.7 · VMI 35.6
CIT 47 · VMI 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVMI -5.5
1 → VMI
CloseVMI -6.5
1 pt toward VMI
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CIT +210 · VMI -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VMI -5.5 · closed VMI -6.5 · moved 1 toward VMImodel VMI -5
model VMI -5
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| VMI | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CIT 3–6 VMIVMI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · VMI has won the last 3 meetings · CIT 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | CIT 62 vs VMI 73 | VMI -5.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | CIT 70 @ VMI 82 | VMI -9.5 | VMI W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | VMI 75 @ CIT 70 | CIT +1.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | VMI 51 @ CIT 76 | CIT -11.5 | CIT W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | CIT 63 @ VMI 70 | VMI +9.5 | VMI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
15 games played
Straight up
1-14
7% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vs ETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
over 7under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
VMI
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTC | W 79-71 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ETSU | L 67-81 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ FUR | L 48-69 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vsMER | L 67-77 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+14.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+2.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+0.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+1.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−32.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−9.5
over 6under 9avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
1-14 overall · 1-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Greensboro66–69
- Wvs W Carolina79–77
- L@ Mercer63–101
- Lvs Wofford86–95
- Lvs ETSU49–74
2 days since their last game.
VMI
3-12 overall · 1-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mercer67–77
- L@ Furman48–69
- L@ ETSU67–81
- Wvs Chattanooga79–71
- Lvs Samford58–78
2 days since their last game.