Cameron Hall · at VMI · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -6.5✓ VMI covered by 14.5
UTC -6.5✓ VMI covered by 14.5Closing total149.5Over by 0.5
| UTC | This season | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 2-9 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 78–73 VMI · ✗ UTC (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 23 | 48 | 71 |
| VMI | 39 | 40 | 79 |
1st half: UTC 23, VMI 39 (VMI by 16). The model had UTC by 3.1 and a total of 70.4 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UTC | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Frison G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Billy Smith G | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-6 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Darner G | 30 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Josh Bowman F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Houston Holland G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Parker Robison G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makai Richards C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Latif Diouf, Liam Vitters, Ryan Lopez, Zach Bleshoy, Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 37 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 35 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 34 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Alexander Daushvili F | 28 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| AJ Clark G | 25 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cal Liston F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Walker Andrews G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Hagedorn, Jaylen Pazon, Robert Peters, Rickey Bradley Jr., Branford Edmonds III, Mason Lawson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -6.5
ModelUTC -5.0
Model edgeVMI +1.5
W VMI covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
W Over
Projected score
UTC 77.6 · VMI 72.6
UTC 71 · VMI 79
Win probability
UTC 67%
1st half
Spread
UTC -3.1
VMI -16.0
Total
70.4
62 points
Projected score
UTC 36.8 · VMI 33.6
UTC 23 · VMI 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -6.5
no move
CloseUTC -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 2
Close149.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTC -270 · VMI +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -6.5 · unchangedmodel UTC -5
model UTC -5
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| VMI | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UTC 8–1 VMIUTC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 7 meetings · UTC 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UTC 91 @ VMI 70 | VMI +9.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | VMI 66 @ UTC 91 | UTC -13.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | UTC 88 @ VMI 84 | VMI +15.5 | VMI W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | VMI 61 @ UTC 109 | UTC -16.5 | UTC W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | VMI 72 vs UTC 92 | UTC -13.5 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
over 6under 5avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
VMI
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
over 4under 7avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
3-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Greensboro72–77
- W@ Alabama A&M73–66
- L@ Bellarmine64–79
- Lvs Auburn78–92
- Lvs SE Missouri70–74
2 days since their last game.
VMI
2-9 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Samford58–78
- L@ Radford90–97
- Wvs Loyola MD86–70
- L@ UCF57–82
- Lvs Bowling Green48–81
2 days since their last game.