University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 4.5
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 4.5Closing total152.5Over by 1.5
| UCSD | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 9-7 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 77–74 UCD · ✓ UCSD (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 25 | 55 | 80 |
| UCD | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: UCSD 25, UCD 30 (UCD by 5). The model had UCSD by 1.9 and a total of 70.9 (actual 55).
Team stats
| UCSD | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 24-67 36% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 19-27 70% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 48 11 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaikin G | 33 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 7-12 | 5-10 |
| Tom Beattie G | 29 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Leo Beath F | 28 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 26 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 29 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Burke G | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Trap Johnson G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Cade Pendleton, Yaqub Mir, Ryder Elisaldez, Jasen Brooks, Jaden Vance
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Wilson G | 31 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 6-16 | 3-5 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Niko Rocak F | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-11 | 2-7 |
| Nils Cooper G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 28 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 26 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chase Rawlins, Cyril Franklin Jr., Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -1.5
ModelUCSD -3.1
Model edgeUCSD +1.6
W UCSD covered
Total
Market152.5
Model151.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
UCSD 77.3 · UCD 74.2
UCSD 80 · UCD 74
Win probability
UCSD 61%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -1.9
UCD -5.0
Total
70.9
55 points
Projected score
UCSD 36.4 · UCD 34.5
UCSD 25 · UCD 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -2.5
1 → UCD
CloseUCSD -1.5
1 pt toward UCD
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Close152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -125 · UCD +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -2.5 · closed UCSD -1.5 · moved 1 toward UCDmodel UCSD -3
model UCSD -3
Opened 153.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UCD | 5-5 50% | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UCSD 3–4 UCDUCD leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 2 meetings · UCSD 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UCSD 68 @ UCD 57 | UCD +12.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UCD 60 @ UCSD 85 | UCSD -14.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | UCD 70 @ UCSD 63 | UCSD -6.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UCSD 92 @ UCD 59 | UCD -2.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 20, 2022-23 | UCSD 66 @ UCD 76 | UCD -8.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
over 9under 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsCSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
over 9under 6avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
12-5 overall · 4-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bakersfield83–62
- Lvs CSU Northridge79–84
- W@ UC Riverside69–66
- Lvs Fullerton71–88
- Wvs Hawai'i83–73
5 days since their last game.
UC Davis
9-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Irvine75–72
- Wvs Fullerton74–69
- L@ Cal Poly78–84
- W@ Santa Barbara93–86
- Lvs Bakersfield79–81
5 days since their last game.